Robert Morris
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1018 (#141) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1029 (#141) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1084 (#65) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.8 (#194) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -1.1 (#171) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.583 (#117) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.341 (#193) | AdjNet -5.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.338 (#194) | AdjNet -5.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.437 (#185) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.562 (#110) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 66.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.497 (#157) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.522 (#147) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1057 (#126) | RD 143 | GP 29 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | vs | East Carolina | W | 58 - 53 |
| 1999-11-23 | @ | Bucknell | L | 62 - 65 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | West Virginia | L | 63 - 66 |
| 1999-12-08 | @ | Pittsburgh | L | 59 - 92 |
| 1999-12-10 | N | Idaho | L | 68 - 88 |
| 1999-12-11 | N | Southeast Missouri State | L | 44 - 55 |
| 1999-12-20 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 64 - 76 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Brown | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2000-01-05 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 70 - 48 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Long Island University | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2000-01-10 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | UMBC | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2000-01-17 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Central Connecticut State | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2000-01-24 | @ | Quinnipiac | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2000-01-31 | vs | UMBC | L | 54 - 58 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | FDU | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Monmouth | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Wagner | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Sacred Heart | W | 86 - 50 |
| 2000-02-15 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | Central Connecticut State | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Quinnipiac | L | 99 - 102 |
| 2000-02-24 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 97 - 92 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Long Island University | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2000-03-03 | N | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Mount St. Mary's | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2000-03-05 | N | Central Connecticut State | L | 46 - 63 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.