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Robert Morris

Also known as: Robert Morris Colonials
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1018 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1029 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 1084 (#65) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -3.8 (#194) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -1.1 (#171) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.583 (#117) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.7 More โ†’ 0.341 (#193) AdjNet -5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.8 More โ†’ 0.338 (#194) AdjNet -5.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.2 More โ†’ 0.437 (#185) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 69.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.562 (#110) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.497 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.522 (#147) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1057 (#126) RD 143 | GP 29

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-19 vs East Carolina W 58 - 53
1999-11-23 @ Bucknell L 62 - 65
1999-11-27 @ West Virginia L 63 - 66
1999-12-08 @ Pittsburgh L 59 - 92
1999-12-10 N Idaho L 68 - 88
1999-12-11 N Southeast Missouri State L 44 - 55
1999-12-20 vs Appalachian State L 64 - 76
1999-12-30 @ Brown W 81 - 77
2000-01-05 vs Saint Francis (PA) W 70 - 48
2000-01-08 vs Long Island University W 81 - 76
2000-01-10 vs St. Francis Brooklyn W 73 - 63
2000-01-15 @ UMBC W 76 - 70
2000-01-17 @ Mount St. Mary's L 69 - 74
2000-01-22 @ Central Connecticut State L 52 - 73
2000-01-24 @ Quinnipiac W 81 - 74
2000-01-29 vs Mount St. Mary's W 73 - 58
2000-01-31 vs UMBC L 54 - 58
2000-02-03 @ FDU L 60 - 70
2000-02-05 @ Monmouth W 66 - 59
2000-02-10 vs Wagner W 81 - 73
2000-02-12 vs Sacred Heart W 86 - 50
2000-02-15 @ Saint Francis (PA) W 68 - 59
2000-02-17 vs Central Connecticut State W 71 - 64
2000-02-19 vs Quinnipiac L 99 - 102
2000-02-24 @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 97 - 92
2000-02-26 @ Long Island University W 73 - 58
2000-03-03 N Saint Francis (PA) W 72 - 52
2000-03-04 N Mount St. Mary's W 80 - 61
2000-03-05 N Central Connecticut State L 46 - 63

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.