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Robert Morris

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Robert Morris Colonials
Program History
Coach: Andrew Toole

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 808 (#281) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 950 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 969 (#216) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -6.0 (#248) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -9.4 (#299) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.423 (#215) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.6 More → 0.249 (#261) AdjNet -9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.6 More → 0.248 (#261) AdjNet -9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.383 (#244) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.396 (#270) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.335 (#258) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.338 (#263) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 33 More → 911 (#229) RD 146 | GP 33

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 64 - 95
2017-11-13 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 61 - 75
2017-11-15 @ San Diego Toreros L 53 - 65
2017-11-19 @ Duquesne Dukes W 66 - 59
2017-11-24 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 75 - 53
2017-11-25 @ Little Rock Trojans W 78 - 64
2017-11-29 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 81 - 74
2017-12-02 @ Siena Saints L 74 - 76
2017-12-06 vs Rider Broncs W 78 - 75
2017-12-10 vs Drexel Dragons W 74 - 60
2017-12-16 @ Buffalo Bulls L 70 - 86
2017-12-19 @ NC State Wolfpack L 69 - 81
2017-12-22 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 62 - 76
2017-12-29 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 68 - 54
2017-12-31 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 71 - 57
2018-01-04 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 80 - 79
2018-01-06 vs Long Island University Sharks W 88 - 79
2018-01-11 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves L 80 - 89
2018-01-13 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 81 - 75
2018-01-18 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 74 - 60
2018-01-20 @ Wagner Seahawks L 49 - 62
2018-01-26 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 64 - 56
2018-01-28 vs Wagner Seahawks L 64 - 77
2018-02-01 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 42 - 67
2018-02-03 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 67 - 73
2018-02-08 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 65 - 77
2018-02-10 @ Long Island University Sharks W 96 - 82
2018-02-15 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 83 - 60
2018-02-17 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 58 - 65
2018-02-22 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 53 - 72
2018-02-24 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves L 60 - 80
2018-02-28 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 60 - 56
2018-03-03 @ Wagner Seahawks L 64 - 75

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dachon Burke Dachon Burke G 28 32.2 17.2 6.0 2.5 2.1 0.5 2.7 3.1 22.4 - - - - 43.7 25.9 65.7 - 235.4 47.7
Koby Thomas Koby Thomas G 29 26.7 12.4 7.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 2.0 2.2 16.8 - - - - 41.5 25.0 70.0 - 244.6 44.6
Matty McConnell Matty McConnell G 28 31.4 9.6 4.1 2.8 1.9 0.5 1.6 1.7 15.6 - - - - 25.5 19.4 80.0 - 232.8 31.9
Leondre Washington Leondre Washington - 23 24.0 8.9 2.0 2.1 0.9 0.0 1.9 1.5 10.5 - - - - 41.2 40.0 80.0 - 197.7 50.0
Jon Williams Jon Williams G 29 31.2 6.4 2.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 2.4 1.0 9.0 - - - - 41.4 43.5 66.7 - 305.1 58.6
Malik Petteway Malik Petteway F 13 19.0 6.2 6.2 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.5 12.8 - - - - 57.1 0 62.5 - 380.2 57.1
Charles Bain Charles Bain F 29 16.2 5.0 2.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 1.7 0.8 6.2 - - - - 27.3 22.2 50.0 - 296.3 31.8
Ronnie Gombe Ronnie Gombe F 25 13.3 3.4 3.7 0.0 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.7 6.8 - - - - 41.2 0 37.5 - 209.6 41.2
Chris Coalmon Chris Coalmon F 29 14.7 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.6 4.1 - - - - 47.1 33.3 0.0 - 262.0 55.9
David Cole David Cole - 27 11.0 2.3 1.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.7 3.0 - - - - 38.9 0 76.9 - 128.6 38.9
Taevon Ashmeade Taevon Ashmeade - 3 6.7 1.3 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Seth Rouse Seth Rouse F 3 5.7 1.0 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nick Castelveter Nick Castelveter - 2 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG