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Robert Morris

Also known as: Robert Morris Colonials
Program History

2017 Team Stats (1 games)

39.0
PPG
79.0
Opp
-40.0
Margin
23.9%
FG%
26.7%
3P%
56.5%
FT%
21.0
RPG
7.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.3
Adj PPG
68.8
Adj Opp PPG
#268
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 824 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 888 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1011 (#159) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -7.1 (#270) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -6.6 (#270) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.355 (#243) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.0 More โ†’ 0.220 (#280) AdjNet -11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.1 More โ†’ 0.217 (#280) AdjNet -11.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 68.8 More โ†’ 0.356 (#268) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 68.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 68.8 More โ†’ 0.442 (#224) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.348 (#250) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.365 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 33 More โ†’ 869 (#260) RD 146 | GP 33

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 50 - 67
2016-11-13 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 72 - 78
2016-11-16 @ Bucknell Bison L 62 - 75
2016-11-20 @ Richmond Spiders L 69 - 81
2016-11-22 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 40 - 61
2016-11-25 vs Hampton Pirates W 62 - 48
2016-11-26 @ Towson Tigers W 67 - 66
2016-11-30 vs Youngstown State Penguins L 74 - 75
2016-12-03 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 58 - 64
2016-12-06 vs Duquesne Dukes W 64 - 60
2016-12-10 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 53 - 74
2016-12-17 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 39 - 79
2016-12-21 vs Buffalo Bulls W 74 - 71
2016-12-29 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 78 - 67
2016-12-31 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 77 - 81
2017-01-05 vs Long Island University Sharks L 54 - 65
2017-01-07 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 62 - 58
2017-01-12 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves L 57 - 77
2017-01-14 @ Wagner Seahawks L 50 - 53
2017-01-19 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 74 - 67
2017-01-21 vs Bryant Bulldogs L 56 - 59
2017-01-26 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 47 - 48
2017-01-28 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves L 83 - 89
2017-02-02 @ Long Island University Sharks W 67 - 63
2017-02-04 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 78 - 54
2017-02-09 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 70 - 74
2017-02-11 vs Wagner Seahawks W 50 - 48
2017-02-16 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 73 - 81
2017-02-18 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 74 - 64
2017-02-23 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 77 - 76
2017-02-25 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 79 - 72
2017-03-01 @ LIU Brooklyn Liu Brooklyn W 69 - 68
2017-03-04 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 66 - 75

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Still Isaiah Still G 14 31.9 16.9 4.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 2.0 3.1 18.6 -73 26 -2.8 -3.7 47.7 45.5 60.9 0.73 219.0 59.1
Kavon Stewart Kavon Stewart G 15 27.5 11.5 2.7 3.4 2.1 0.0 3.4 2.2 14.1 -49 27 -1.8 -2.6 27.3 40.0 69.6 -0.06 199.4 30.3
Aaron Tate Aaron Tate F 15 27.4 6.7 7.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.5 0.8 13.0 -91 28 -3.2 -5.2 58.3 0 50.0 -2.66 344.9 58.3
Clive Allen Clive Allen G 15 18.0 6.6 1.7 1.9 0.5 0.7 1.9 1.3 8.1 -97 28 -3.5 -8.4 25.0 12.5 83.3 -3.0 218.6 27.5
Matty McConnell Matty McConnell G 15 24.3 6.1 3.8 1.5 1.2 0.2 1.1 1.5 10.3 -48 28 -1.7 -2.9 30.4 28.6 100.0 -0.57 192.6 39.1
Dachon Burke Dachon Burke G 15 19.1 6.1 3.1 0.6 1.6 0.3 1.3 1.3 9.1 1 28 0.0 0.1 42.1 50.0 100.0 0.94 219.2 47.4
Billy Giles Billy Giles F 13 17.5 5.5 3.9 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 8.2 -56 24 -2.3 -8.2 63.2 0 83.3 -0.82 166.4 63.2
Braden Burke Braden Burke C 15 16.4 4.3 3.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.0 1.1 6.2 -75 27 -2.8 -7.6 31.2 0 44.4 -2.59 160.3 31.2
Lorenzen Wright Lorenzen Wright G 13 10.8 4.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.9 3.5 -35 25 -1.4 -4.9 33.3 36.4 0 -1.61 220.8 50.0
Roberto Mantovani Roberto Mantovani F 13 13.1 1.3 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.6 2.9 -25 19 -1.3 -4.3 12.5 0 50.0 1.02 95.7 12.5
Conrad Stephens Conrad Stephens F 6 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 6 12 0.5 4.5 0 0 0 -0.12 0 0
Jordan Lester Jordan Lester G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Seth Rouse Seth Rouse F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.22 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG