Rice
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1063 (#140) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1015 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 998 (#174) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.2 (#139) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.6 (#151) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.542 (#146) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.600 (#139) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.601 (#140) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.544 (#139) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.514 (#151) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.545 (#145) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.539 (#148) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1032 (#151) | RD 102 | GP 30 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsalan Kazemi
|
F | 32 | 29.4 | 12.1 | 10.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 24.0 | 75 | 29 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 69.8 | 0 | 65.9 | 3.12 | 267.4 | 69.8 |
Tamir Jackson
|
G | 32 | 29.9 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 5 | 30 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 29.2 | 28.0 | 42.1 | -2.58 | 234.5 | 34.6 |
Connor Frizzelle
|
G | 32 | 27.8 | 9.8 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 25 | 30 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 30.8 | 27.3 | 82.6 | -0.72 | 208.3 | 35.4 |
Dylan Ennis
|
G | 33 | 26.6 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 15.1 | 50 | 31 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 43.9 | 33.3 | 84.2 | 0.15 | 289.7 | 48.8 |
Lucas Kuipers
|
F | 32 | 19.8 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 9.2 | 19 | 30 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 46.0 | 38.5 | 83.3 | -0.77 | 198.5 | 56.0 |
Omar Oraby
|
C | 31 | 11.8 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 10.4 | 13 | 28 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 63.2 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.09 | 350.7 | 63.2 |
Ahmad Ibrahim
|
- | 31 | 18.6 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | 35.9 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 245.7 | 39.7 |
Jarelle Reischel
|
G | 33 | 13.6 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7.8 | 45 | 31 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 52.6 | 33.3 | 64.3 | 0.35 | 371.6 | 57.9 |
Julian DeBose
|
G | 32 | 12.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 75 | 30 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.34 | 358.0 | 26.7 |
Seth Gearhart
|
F | 24 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 5 | 21 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -3.04 | 410.0 | 80.0 |
David Chadwick
|
F | 29 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 62 | 25 | 2.5 | 17.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 3.53 | 312.5 | 58.3 |
Emerson Herndon
|
F | 17 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.1 | -1 | 16 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.91 | 1000.0 | 100.0 |
J.R. Reynolds
|
F | 7 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -6 | 7 | -0.9 | -9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.11 | 0 | 0 |
Dan Peera
|
G | 5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 6 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.93 | 0 | 0 |
Nate Schwarze
|
G | 18 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -1 | 17 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG