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Rice

Also known as: Rice Owls, Rice
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 766 (#265) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 742 (#299) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More β†’ 839 (#305) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More β†’ -8.9 (#252) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More β†’ -8.6 (#254) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.092 (#307) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.7 More β†’ 0.156 (#272) AdjNet -14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.8 More β†’ 0.153 (#272) AdjNet -14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 65.0 More β†’ 0.307 (#268) AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 65.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 65.7 More β†’ 0.297 (#298) AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.225 (#281) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.224 (#284) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 25 More β†’ 726 (#301) RD 153 | GP 25

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-19 vs Navy W 70 - 64
1999-11-27 @ Portland L 55 - 69
1999-12-02 vs Northwestern State W 52 - 49
1999-12-04 @ Stephen F. Austin L 71 - 77
1999-12-07 @ Houston L 71 - 84
1999-12-11 N Texas A&M L 53 - 56
1999-12-22 vs Lamar L 40 - 51
1999-12-28 @ Duquesne L 57 - 72
2000-01-03 @ Texas–Rio Grande Valley L 62 - 72
2000-01-08 @ Southern Methodist L 71 - 80
2000-01-15 vs Tulsa L 49 - 67
2000-01-20 vs Hawaii L 65 - 68
2000-01-22 vs San Jose State L 56 - 58
2000-01-27 @ Fresno State L 53 - 86
2000-01-29 @ UTEP L 70 - 92
2000-02-03 vs Texas Christian L 70 - 83
2000-02-07 vs Southern Methodist L 50 - 65
2000-02-09 @ Northwestern L 47 - 61
2000-02-12 @ Tulsa L 33 - 75
2000-02-17 @ San Jose State L 48 - 52
2000-02-19 @ Hawaii L 63 - 90
2000-02-24 vs UTEP W 62 - 59
2000-02-26 vs Fresno State L 57 - 69
2000-03-04 @ Texas Christian L 62 - 85
2000-03-09 N Tulsa L 51 - 71

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.