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Providence

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Providence Friars, Providence
Program History
Coach: Ed Cooley

2017 Team Stats (14 games)

67.4
PPG
68.1
Opp
-0.7
Margin
43.9%
FG%
37.1%
3P%
68.1%
FT%
33.5
RPG
14.5
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.9
Adj PPG
62.7
Adj Opp PPG
#60
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1267 (#46) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1160 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1030 (#127) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +10.1 (#58) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +9.3 (#62) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.639 (#87) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.3 More → 0.854 (#56) AdjNet +15.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.5 More → 0.857 (#56) AdjNet +15.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 62.7 More → 0.696 (#60) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 62.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.590 (#88) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.739 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.720 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 33 More → 1213 (#46) RD 117 | GP 33

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-14 vs Vermont Catamounts W 80 - 58
2016-11-17 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 67 - 72
2016-11-19 vs Grambling Tigers W 71 - 54
2016-11-21 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 64 - 48
2016-11-25 @ Memphis Tigers W 60 - 51
2016-11-26 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 52 - 63
2016-11-30 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 76 - 62
2016-12-03 vs Rhode Island Rams W 63 - 60
2016-12-06 vs Brown Bears W 95 - 57
2016-12-10 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 75 - 69
2016-12-17 vs Wagner Seahawks W 76 - 54
2016-12-20 vs Maine Black Bears W 79 - 59
2016-12-23 @ Boston College Eagles L 67 - 79
2016-12-28 @ Xavier Musketeers L 56 - 82
2017-01-01 @ Butler Bulldogs L 61 - 78
2017-01-04 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 76 - 70
2017-01-07 vs Creighton Bluejays L 64 - 78
2017-01-10 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 63 - 64
2017-01-14 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 65 - 61
2017-01-16 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 74 - 56
2017-01-21 @ Villanova Wildcats L 68 - 78
2017-01-25 vs St. John's Red Storm L 86 - 91
2017-01-28 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 79 - 78
2017-02-01 vs Villanova Wildcats L 57 - 66
2017-02-08 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 70 - 72
2017-02-11 vs Butler Bulldogs W 71 - 65
2017-02-15 vs Xavier Musketeers W 75 - 63
2017-02-22 @ Creighton Bluejays W 68 - 66
2017-02-25 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 73 - 69
2017-02-28 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 73 - 64
2017-03-04 @ St. John's Red Storm W 86 - 75
2017-03-09 vs Creighton Bluejays L 58 - 70
2017-03-15 vs USC Trojans L 71 - 75

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rodney Bullock Rodney Bullock F 26 33.7 16.5 6.5 1.6 1.2 0.8 2.4 8.0 16.2 62 28 2.2 3.1 44.0 28.6 79.7 -0.65 92.1 48.8
Emmitt Holt Emmitt Holt F 25 27.8 12.6 5.2 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.5 5.8 13.3 109 27 4.0 6.4 52.8 36.4 70.8 2.74 95.4 56.9
Kyron Cartwright Kyron Cartwright G 26 32.7 10.9 3.5 6.7 1.1 0.0 3.1 4.5 14.5 124 28 4.4 5.9 41.0 41.7 71.1 3.06 103.4 47.4
Jalen Lindsey Jalen Lindsey G 25 31.3 10.3 4.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.7 4.6 10.9 99 28 3.5 4.7 43.1 43.6 70.0 2.47 99.8 57.8
Alpha Diallo Alpha Diallo G 26 19.6 5.7 3.2 1.0 0.9 0.2 1.3 2.3 7.3 36 28 1.3 2.7 34.4 29.2 68.4 0.27 95.2 40.2
Isaiah Jackson Isaiah Jackson G 26 17.2 5.2 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.3 1.1 2.9 5.9 78 28 2.8 7.2 45.3 50.0 77.8 2.17 77.7 53.3
Drew Edwards Drew Edwards G 6 12.5 3.7 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.7 -10 6 -1.7 -6.9 50.0 50.0 33.3 -3.69 75.1 54.2
Kalif Young Kalif Young F 26 13.5 3.2 3.0 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7 4.7 9 28 0.3 1.1 54.5 0.0 44.0 -0.56 75.5 54.5
Ryan Fazekas Ryan Fazekas F 24 12.0 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.9 52 25 2.1 8.7 36.6 36.7 60.0 0.96 77.5 50.0
Maliek White Maliek White G 26 12.0 2.6 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.9 1.7 3.3 10 28 0.4 1.3 32.6 27.8 60.0 -1.32 75.2 38.4
Casey Woodring Casey Woodring G 4 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -2.16 75.0 75.0
Ricky Council Ricky Council G 4 4.5 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 -0.25 50.0 50.0
Tom Planek Tom Planek F 6 2.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.8 4 6 0.7 14.0 0 0 0.0 -0.8 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG