Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McLaughlin | 38 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| B. Boatwright | 33 | 8-16 | 3-10 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| C. Metu | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| E. Stewart | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Mathews | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| N. Rakocevic | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Melton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Aaron | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lindsey | 38 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| R. Bullock | 34 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| E. Holt | 32 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| A. Diallo | 32 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Cartwright | 29 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| I. Jackson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. White | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Young | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Fazekas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter