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Providence

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Providence Friars, Providence
Program History
Coach: Ed Cooley

2015 Team Stats (13 games)

67.5
PPG
65.2
Opp
+2.3
Margin
43.3%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
35.9
RPG
13.4
APG
13.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.6
Adj PPG
60.3
Adj Opp PPG
#30
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1234 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1209 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1033 (#123) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +12.5 (#28) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +10.9 (#30) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.672 (#86) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.4 More → 0.904 (#32) AdjNet +19.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.6 More → 0.906 (#33) AdjNet +19.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 60.3 More → 0.737 (#30) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 60.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.631 (#49) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.774 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.756 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 34 More → 1214 (#41) RD 110 | GP 34

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 64 - 60
2014-11-17 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 66 - 45
2014-11-20 vs Navy Midshipmen W 88 - 51
2014-11-22 vs Florida State Seminoles W 80 - 54
2014-11-23 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 75 - 74
2014-11-28 vs Yale Bulldogs W 72 - 66
2014-11-30 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 38 - 58
2014-12-05 @ Boston College Eagles L 60 - 69
2014-12-08 vs Brown Bears L 67 - 77
2014-12-10 vs Rhode Island Rams W 68 - 60
2014-12-13 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 79 - 61
2014-12-20 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 85 - 65
2014-12-22 vs Miami Hurricanes W 76 - 62
2014-12-31 vs Creighton Bluejays W 65 - 53
2015-01-03 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 66 - 75
2015-01-06 @ Butler Bulldogs W 66 - 62
2015-01-10 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 60 - 57
2015-01-14 vs St. John's Red Storm L 70 - 83
2015-01-17 @ Creighton Bluejays W 74 - 65
2015-01-22 vs Xavier Musketeers W 69 - 66
2015-01-27 vs DePaul Blue Demons - Postponed
2015-01-29 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 83 - 72
2015-01-31 @ St. John's Red Storm L 66 - 75
2015-02-04 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 74 - 71
2015-02-07 @ Xavier Musketeers L 69 - 78
2015-02-11 vs Villanova Wildcats L 68 - 74
2015-02-14 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 69 - 62
2015-02-18 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 84 - 57
2015-02-24 @ Villanova Wildcats L 61 - 89
2015-03-01 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 77 - 66
2015-03-04 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 79 - 66
2015-03-07 vs Butler Bulldogs L 64 - 68
2015-03-12 vs St. John's Red Storm W 74 - 57
2015-03-13 @ Villanova Wildcats L 61 - 63
2015-03-20 vs Dayton Flyers L 53 - 66

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
LaDontae Henton LaDontae Henton F 33 36.9 19.5 6.6 0.9 1.4 0.5 2.0 6.5 20.4 33 27 1.2 1.4 45.5 41.2 70.8 3.72 133.3 53.3
Kris Dunn Kris Dunn G 32 33.9 15.6 5.5 7.3 2.7 0.3 4.2 5.6 21.7 29 26 1.1 1.4 41.6 35.0 67.2 2.63 122.8 45.5
Tyler Harris Tyler Harris F 33 26.6 9.8 4.1 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.1 3.3 11.5 -18 27 -0.7 -1.2 45.5 24.1 78.8 -1.15 122.3 48.6
Carson Desrosiers Carson Desrosiers F 31 25.0 6.5 4.3 0.8 0.3 2.4 0.9 1.6 11.7 52 25 2.1 3.7 45.1 50.0 85.7 2.84 159.5 48.0
Ben Bentil Ben Bentil - 33 21.4 6.4 4.9 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 3.2 8.2 -15 26 -0.6 -1.1 45.2 31.6 72.7 -1.32 82.3 48.1
Jalen Lindsey Jalen Lindsey G 32 18.0 3.9 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.6 4.3 59 25 2.4 5.9 37.3 37.8 44.4 2.6 112.8 51.0
Kyron Cartwright Kyron Cartwright G 33 18.8 3.5 1.6 2.7 0.6 0.1 1.2 1.6 5.8 -14 27 -0.5 -1.3 30.8 12.5 64.7 -2.02 97.5 32.7
Paschal Chukwu Paschal Chukwu C 33 10.0 2.7 2.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.8 5.0 -3 26 -0.1 -0.5 65.4 0 73.3 -0.46 138.0 65.4
Junior Lomomba Junior Lomomba G 30 11.4 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.4 1 24 0.0 0.2 32.1 12.5 61.1 -0.01 73.8 33.9
Ted Bancroft Ted Bancroft G 21 4.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.8 34 15 2.3 17.9 50.0 50.0 0 3.74 262.5 75.0
Tom Planek Tom Planek F 8 1.6 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.6 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.39 125.0 0.0
Casey Woodring Casey Woodring G 7 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.67 50.0 0.0
Tyree Chambers Tyree Chambers G 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG