Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -13 (53-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Smith * | 40 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 38 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| J. Sibert * | 37 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| K. Davis * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| K. Pollard * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Wehrli | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Davis | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Henton * | 39 | 7-26 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | - |
| J. Lindsey * | 39 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Dunn * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -3 | - |
| B. Bentil * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Desrosiers * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Cartwright | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Harris | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Chukwu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lomomba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter