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Princeton

Also known as: Princeton Tigers, Princeton
Program History

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

74.5
PPG
59.5
Opp
+15.0
Margin
50.0%
FG%
45.3%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
34.5
RPG
14.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.1
Adj PPG
70.9
Adj Opp PPG
#179
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 904 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 934 (#220) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 948 (#251) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -1.0 (#180) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -2.9 (#210) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.482 (#183) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More โ†’ 0.441 (#188) AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.0 More โ†’ 0.443 (#188) AdjNet -2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 70.9 More โ†’ 0.481 (#179) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 70.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.9 More โ†’ 0.463 (#213) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.418 (#218) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.415 (#221) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 28 More โ†’ 867 (#270) RD 153 | GP 28

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-12 @ Butler Bulldogs L 75 - 85
2017-11-15 vs BYU Cougars L 56 - 65
2017-11-18 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 58 - 71
2017-11-22 vs Lafayette Leopards W 60 - 46
2017-11-26 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 83 - 76
2017-11-29 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 76 - 85
2017-12-02 @ Miami Hurricanes L 52 - 80
2017-12-06 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 60 - 71
2017-12-12 vs Monmouth Hawks W 69 - 58
2017-12-16 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 80 - 60
2017-12-19 @ USC Trojans W 103 - 93
2017-12-22 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 67 - 69
2017-12-23 @ Akron Zips W 64 - 62
2017-12-25 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 77 - 63
2018-01-05 @ Pennsylvania Quakers - Preview
2018-01-06 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 70 - 76
2018-01-12 vs Columbia Lions W 72 - 56
2018-01-13 vs Cornell Big Red W 91 - 54
2018-01-28 vs Rowan Profs W 86 - 50
2018-02-02 vs Yale Bulldogs W 76 - 73
2018-02-03 vs Brown Bears L 100 - 102
2018-02-06 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 65 - 82
2018-02-09 @ Harvard Crimson L 51 - 66
2018-02-10 @ Dartmouth Big Green L 56 - 72
2018-02-16 @ Cornell Big Red L 101 - 107
2018-02-17 @ Columbia Lions L 60 - 85
2018-02-23 vs Harvard Crimson L 66 - 72
2018-02-24 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 64 - 47
2018-03-02 @ Brown Bears W 78 - 63
2018-03-03 @ Yale Bulldogs L 90 - 94

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Devin Cannady Devin Cannady - 28 36.9 16.9 5.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 1.6 4.6 18.8 69 27 2.6 3.0 48.5 41.6 81.8 1.71 163.3 60.8
Myles Stephens Myles Stephens G 28 34.3 15.1 6.4 1.3 0.5 0.9 2.2 3.8 18.2 71 27 2.6 3.2 49.5 33.3 71.4 0.22 180.7 53.8
Amir Bell Amir Bell G 28 34.4 10.5 5.4 3.8 1.4 0.6 1.5 2.5 17.7 94 27 3.5 4.3 38.6 34.6 59.3 1.24 179.5 45.0
Sebastian Much Sebastian Much F 26 19.9 7.4 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.3 1.7 2.0 8.6 105 25 4.2 9.1 50.0 45.5 40.0 2.34 177.1 64.4
Jerome Desrosiers Jerome Desrosiers F 26 15.5 6.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.1 8.7 39 25 1.6 4.4 57.1 50.0 77.8 -0.89 262.8 76.8
Aaron Young Aaron Young G 26 18.4 4.5 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.5 4.9 -64 26 -2.5 -6.2 37.5 34.4 100.0 -4.66 144.3 51.2
Will Gladson Will Gladson F 15 10.5 3.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.1 4.6 8 12 0.7 2.6 50.0 66.7 75.0 -1.01 152.0 56.2
Ryan Schwieger Ryan Schwieger F 25 13.0 3.0 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.0 1.0 3.8 -14 25 -0.6 -1.8 36.0 30.0 83.3 -2.64 133.9 42.0
Richmond Aririguzoh Richmond Aririguzoh C 26 9.3 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 4.3 15 25 0.6 2.5 73.3 0 55.6 -0.62 189.9 73.3
Alec Brennan Alec Brennan F 25 8.0 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 2.8 -2 23 -0.1 -0.5 50.0 33.3 0.0 -0.82 281.5 56.2
Jose Morales Jose Morales G 11 6.5 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 2.6 7 12 0.6 3.5 16.7 0.0 100.0 0.19 150.3 16.7
Elijah Barnes Elijah Barnes F 8 6.9 2.0 2.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 3.5 -21 9 -2.3 -15.9 33.3 100.0 100.0 -2.91 206.2 50.0
Vittorio Reynoso-Avila Vittorio Reynoso-Avila F 9 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 -21 8 -2.6 -26.4 0 0 50.0 -4.42 965.9 0
Mike LeBlanc Mike LeBlanc F 22 11.6 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 3.4 -6 23 -0.3 -1.0 22.2 25.0 100.0 -1.8 181.2 33.3
Noah Bramlage Noah Bramlage F 12 4.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.9 -15 12 -1.2 -11.7 33.3 0.0 0 -1.81 200.0 33.3
Elias Berbari Elias Berbari G 8 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -15 9 -1.7 -38.2 0 0 0 -3.06 0 0
Charlie Bagin Charlie Bagin G 9 3.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 -25 9 -2.8 -42.5 0 0 0 -4.4 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG