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Princeton Tigers 13-16
@
2018-01-05
Pennsylvania Quakers 24-9

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Projected
Elo
2017-18 season-end ratings
 10.2% (#224) 89.8% (#76) Pennsyl... -14.2 66-80
Bradley-Terry
2017-18 season-end ratings
 20.7% (#220) 79.3% (#92) - -
Margin
2017-18 season-end ratings
 20.9% (#180) 79.1% (#122) Pennsyl... -7.3 -
Pythagorean
2017-18 season-end ratings
 37.7% (#183) 62.3% (#74) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2017-18 season-end ratings
 24.4% (#188) 75.6% (#126) - -
Log Adjusted
2017-18 season-end ratings
 24.3% (#188) 75.7% (#124) - -
Points Off/Def
2017-18 season-end ratings
 34.0% (#179) 66.0% (#121) - -

2017-18 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.6-point home edge (2016-17 margin fit); projected score: 2016-17's average total of 146 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Princeton Tigers Pennsylvania Quakers
Games 3 7
PPG 75.7 73.1
FG% 48.4% 46.3%
3PT% 41.8% 37.9%
FT% 78.6% 66.2%
RPG 34.7 34.9
APG 12.0 15.1
SPG 3.0 6.0
BPG 3.7 3.3
TOPG 13.0 11.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Princeton Tigers Pennsylvania Quakers
Adj. Off Eff 99.0 102.2
Adj. Def Eff 101.0 97.8
Adj. Net Eff -2.1 4.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Princeton Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Devin Cannady 16.9 5.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 36.9
A. Bell 10.5 5.4 3.8 1.4 0.6 34.4
Myles Stephens 15.1 6.4 1.3 0.5 0.9 34.3
S. Much 7.4 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.3 19.9
A. Young 4.5 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 18.4

Pennsylvania Quakers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
R. Betley 14.3 5.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 33.1
A. Brodeur 13.2 7.2 2.6 0.8 1.3 30.6
D. Foreman 10.7 4.4 3.6 1.0 0.2 29.5
A. Woods 7.6 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 27.8
M. Rothschild 7.3 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.4 21.9