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Portland State

Also known as: Portland State Vikings
Program History

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

74.7
PPG
81.3
Opp
-6.7
Margin
38.9%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
78.3%
FT%
37.3
RPG
13.0
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.8
Adj PPG
79.5
Adj Opp PPG
#147
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 967 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1044 (#140) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#165) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +1.4 (#146) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -0.9 (#176) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.532 (#151) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.3 More โ†’ 0.492 (#171) AdjNet -0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.3 More โ†’ 0.491 (#170) AdjNet -0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 79.5 More โ†’ 0.530 (#147) AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 79.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.2 More โ†’ 0.493 (#179) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.510 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.502 (#169) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 31 More โ†’ 997 (#175) RD 110 | GP 31

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-11 @ Portland Pilots W 80 - 75
2017-11-14 vs Willamette Bearcats W 111 - 60
2017-11-18 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 94 - 82
2017-11-20 vs Utah State Aggies W 83 - 79
2017-11-23 @ Duke Blue Devils L 81 - 99
2017-11-24 @ Butler Bulldogs L 69 - 71
2017-11-26 @ Stanford Cardinal W 87 - 78
2017-12-02 vs Portland Bible PORTLAND BIBLE W 125 - 50
2017-12-06 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 94 - 85
2017-12-09 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 87 - 84
2017-12-13 @ Oregon Ducks L 84 - 95
2017-12-16 vs Linfield Wildcats W 116 - 71
2017-12-21 @ California Golden Bears W 106 - 81
2017-12-30 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 75 - 80
2018-01-04 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 74 - 81
2018-01-06 @ Idaho Vandals W 73 - 72
2018-01-11 vs Montana State Bobcats W 93 - 74
2018-01-13 vs Montana Grizzlies L 89 - 92
2018-01-18 @ Idaho State Bengals W 87 - 83
2018-01-20 @ Weber State Wildcats L 79 - 84
2018-01-27 vs Sacramento State Hornets L 61 - 71
2018-02-01 vs Idaho Vandals L 88 - 97
2018-02-03 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 94 - 81
2018-02-08 @ Montana Grizzlies L 60 - 80
2018-02-10 @ Montana State Bobcats W 80 - 77
2018-02-15 vs Weber State Wildcats L 86 - 95
2018-02-17 vs Idaho State Bengals W 91 - 77
2018-02-22 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 96 - 91
2018-02-24 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 72 - 66
2018-03-01 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 78 - 85
2018-03-03 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 97 - 90
2018-03-06 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 71 - 67
2018-03-08 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 72 - 78
2018-03-17 @ San Diego Toreros L 64 - 67

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Deontae North Deontae North G 18 30.1 21.1 4.9 2.4 1.8 0.3 1.9 3.6 25.0 82 17 4.8 6.7 52.3 36.0 81.2 1.83 240.3 59.2
Bryce Canda Bryce Canda G 31 34.3 13.5 6.0 2.5 1.6 0.2 1.4 3.7 18.6 95 30 3.2 3.9 37.4 28.1 55.6 1.54 164.7 45.2
Holland Woods Holland Woods G 32 32.0 10.6 2.7 5.3 1.5 0.1 2.6 2.4 15.2 87 31 2.8 3.7 50.6 41.4 87.0 2.93 173.8 58.4
Brandon Hollins Brandon Hollins F 28 25.5 9.2 7.6 0.6 1.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 15.8 8 27 0.3 0.5 48.9 33.3 88.9 -2.16 235.8 50.0
Michael Mayhew Michael Mayhew G 32 20.0 7.9 2.5 1.3 1.2 0.0 1.4 1.8 9.7 49 31 1.6 3.3 39.7 35.1 78.9 0.63 191.4 50.9
Deante Strickland Deante Strickland G 32 20.9 7.8 2.1 2.7 1.0 0.0 1.3 2.1 10.2 33 31 1.1 2.3 35.3 38.5 50.0 0.51 169.9 46.3
Traylin Farris Traylin Farris C 23 14.8 6.0 3.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.4 9.5 -55 21 -2.6 -7.4 51.5 100.0 70.0 -4.29 183.2 53.0
Derek Brown Derek Brown G 17 12.2 5.7 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.6 7.6 -6 17 -0.4 -1.3 80.0 66.7 60.0 -0.89 397.5 90.0
Brendan Rumel Brendan Rumel F 7 8.4 5.4 2.6 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.1 8.3 24 6 4.0 28.6 0.0 0 83.3 0.3 522.0 0.0
Braxton Tucker Braxton Tucker F 16 10.4 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 5.9 0 17 0.0 0.0 60.0 0 75.0 -1.87 335.9 60.0
Ryan Edwards Ryan Edwards C 3 11.3 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 5.0 1.3 62 31 2.0 4.8 33.3 100.0 60.0 -0.19 40.7 36.7
Vonte Carter Vonte Carter G 6 4.3 4.0 0.8 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.8 4.5 - - - - 40.0 66.7 0 -0.88 240.0 60.0
Jamie Orme Jamie Orme F 29 13.0 3.7 3.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.6 1.1 6.9 -38 28 -1.4 -4.7 41.9 33.3 45.0 -4.93 135.7 46.8
Devyn Wilson Devyn Wilson G 13 6.4 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.7 1.9 -18 12 -1.5 -11.2 33.3 20.0 100.0 -4.7 105.9 38.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG