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2018-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -4.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -3.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“

Actual: Idaho State Bengals -4 (83-87). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deontae North * 36 10-17 1-6 3-4 9 0 2 0 6 24 12 -
Bryce Canda * 34 2-9 1-5 0-0 8 3 3 0 2 5 8 -
Holland Woods * 25 5-7 2-3 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
Ryan Edwards * 22 7-14 0-0 5-6 10 2 1 3 2 19 19 -
Michael Mayhew * 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
Deante Strickland 26 5-10 2-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 14 7 -
Derek Brown 19 1-2 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Jamie Orme 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Traylin Farris 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 1 1 2 6 -
Braxton Tucker 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Devyn Wilson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Stutzman * 38 6-10 3-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 15 9 -
Balint Mocsan * 34 6-10 3-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 17 11 -
Geno Luzcando * 29 4-9 1-3 2-4 1 6 3 1 5 11 8 -
Novak Topalovic * 25 2-2 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 1 2 7 6 -
Sam Dowd * 19 4-4 1-1 4-6 0 2 0 0 2 13 9 -
Brandon Boyd 32 8-17 1-4 0-2 9 1 2 0 0 17 12 -
Blake Truman 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
Erik Nakken 8 0-1 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jacob McCord 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Hayes Garrity 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter