Portland Pilots - 2017

2017 Team Stats (6 games)

58.7

PPG

77.0

Opp

-18.3

Margin

36.0%

FG%

38.3%

3P%

70.9%

FT%

34.0

RPG

8.3

APG

13.0

TO

77.1

Pace

Model Outputs

2016-2017

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1122 (#242)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1164 (#247)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More →	+19.6 (#234)	HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.039 (#102)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.4 More →	0.348 (#75)	AdjNet -5.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.3 More →	0.350 (#75)	AdjNet -5.3

2017 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2016-11-24	@	UCLA Bruins	L	77 - 99
2016-12-16	vs	South Dakota Coyotes	W	85 - 82
2017-01-07	vs	Gonzaga Bulldogs	-	Preview
2017-01-12	vs	Saint Mary's Gaels	L	33 - 74
2017-01-21	@	Gonzaga Bulldogs	L	52 - 73
2017-01-23	vs	Gonzaga Bulldogs	L	64 - 83
2017-02-09	@	Saint Mary's Gaels	L	41 - 51

2017 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
J. Johnson	G	6	35.5	15.2	1.8	2.8	0.7	0.0	2.2	12.7	5.7	34	3.8	9.0	40.8	48.1	80.0	1.19	53.7	49.3
A. Wintering	G	3	35.0	13.7	4.0	4.3	3.3	0.0	6.0	11.7	7.7	-	-	-	40.0	50.0	68.8	-	48.8	42.9
J. Marshall	F	2	17.5	9.5	1.5	0.0	1.0	0.0	1.5	6.0	4.5	11	1.1	1.6	58.3	60.0	100.0	0.87	73.8	70.8
D. Tyson	G	6	24.0	8.3	3.5	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.8	8.7	2.7	-	-	-	34.6	36.7	100.0	-	46.9	45.2
G. Taylor	F	6	31.0	8.2	4.8	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.8	10.3	3.0	-	-	-	32.3	27.8	57.1	-	37.6	36.3
R. Jackson	G	6	23.2	8.2	2.8	0.3	0.3	0.0	1.2	8.0	2.5	-	-	-	35.4	31.2	71.4	0.1	45.2	40.6
C. Maker	F	4	19.2	2.8	4.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	4.2	2.5	-	-	-	11.8	0.0	77.8	-	26.2	11.8
A. Ferguson	G	5	15.6	2.6	1.4	1.0	0.6	0.0	1.0	2.6	2.0	-	-	-	30.8	50.0	60.0	-	42.8	38.5
R. Barreno	C	5	14.8	2.4	4.4	0.4	0.2	0.2	1.8	2.8	3.0	-	-	-	35.7	0	100.0	-	40.3	35.7
J. Smoyer	C	5	10.6	2.2	2.6	0.4	0.0	1.0	0.4	1.8	4.0	-	-	-	44.4	0	50.0	-	47.3	44.4
P. Hartwich	C	6	15.0	1.0	4.2	0.5	0.2	1.3	0.8	1.3	5.0	-	-	-	37.5	0	0.0	-	33.8	37.5
X. Hallinan	G	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-	0.0	0.0
A. Monson	G	2	2.5	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	-	-	-	0	0	0	-	0	0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG