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2017-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 2.0% 98.0% -
Bradley-Terry 2.9% 97.1% -
Margin 0.5% 99.5% +28.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +21 (73-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson 40 4-16 2-5 2-4 1 1 3 0 4 12 -3 -
G. Taylor 32 6-13 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 13 7 -
R. Jackson 31 2-10 0-3 6-8 5 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
A. Ferguson 23 1-5 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
D. Tyson 22 3-8 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
P. Hartwich 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 0 7 -
R. Barreno 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 6 7 -
C. Maker 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Smoyer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Williams-Goss 32 3-11 1-6 8-10 2 3 1 0 1 15 9 -
J. Perkins 31 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 6 2 2 2 7 12 -
J. Mathews 26 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
S. Melson 23 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Williams 22 3-6 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 1 0 9 10 -
P. Karnowski 20 6-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 12 8 -
Z. Collins 18 2-3 0-0 5-6 9 0 2 4 2 9 19 -
K. Tillie 11 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 5 5 -
R. Hachimura 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
B. Alberts 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Edwards 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Triano 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter