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Pittsburgh

Also known as: Pittsburgh Panthers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (18 games)

70.0
PPG
65.2
Opp
+4.8
Margin
46.6%
FG%
33.7%
3P%
68.0%
FT%
38.9
RPG
16.1
APG
14.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.7
Adj PPG
61.7
Adj Opp PPG
#60
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1251 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1124 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1063 (#87) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +8.6 (#60) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +10.4 (#41) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.647 (#100) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.1 More โ†’ 0.819 (#60) AdjNet +13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.2 More โ†’ 0.822 (#60) AdjNet +13.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 61.7 More โ†’ 0.674 (#60) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 62.2 More โ†’ 0.649 (#48) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.723 (#62) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.718 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 81 | GP 39 More โ†’ 1139 (#83) RD 81 | GP 39

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Albany Great Danes W 89 - 56
2011-11-13 vs Rider Broncs W 86 - 78
2011-11-16 vs Long Beach State Beach L 76 - 86
2011-11-22 vs La Salle Explorers W 73 - 69
2011-11-25 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 78 - 58
2011-11-27 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 81 - 71
2011-11-30 @ Duquesne Dukes W 80 - 69
2011-12-03 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 61 - 56
2011-12-06 vs VMI Keydets W 97 - 70
2011-12-10 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 74 - 68
2011-12-17 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 69 - 55
2011-12-20 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 71 - 47
2011-12-23 vs Wagner Seahawks L 54 - 59
2011-12-27 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 59 - 72
2012-01-01 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 63 - 66
2012-01-05 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 81 - 84
2012-01-11 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 39 - 62
2012-01-14 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 57 - 62
2012-01-16 @ Syracuse Orange L 63 - 71
2012-01-21 vs Louisville Cardinals L 62 - 73
2012-01-25 vs Providence Friars W 86 - 74
2012-01-28 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 72 - 60
2012-01-30 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 72 - 66
2012-02-05 vs Villanova Wildcats W 79 - 70
2012-02-08 @ South Florida Bulls L 51 - 63
2012-02-12 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 66 - 73
2012-02-16 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 48 - 66
2012-02-19 vs South Florida Bulls L 47 - 56
2012-02-26 @ Louisville Cardinals L 54 - 57
2012-02-29 vs St. John's Red Storm W 89 - 69
2012-03-03 @ UConn Huskies L 65 - 74
2012-03-06 @ St. John's Red Storm W 73 - 59
2012-03-07 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 52 - 64
2012-03-14 vs Wofford Terriers W 81 - 63
2012-03-19 vs Princeton Tigers W 82 - 61
2012-03-21 @ Butler Bulldogs W 68 - 62
2012-03-26 @ Washington State Cougars L 66 - 67
2012-03-28 vs Washington State Cougars W 57 - 53
2012-03-30 vs Washington State Cougars W 71 - 65

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ashton Gibbs Ashton Gibbs G 37 34.3 14.6 2.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 1.6 8.5 9.4 6 32 0.2 0.2 38.4 34.0 83.6 1.84 78.5 46.7
Travon Woodall Travon Woodall G 27 30.9 11.9 3.1 6.1 0.9 0.1 3.2 4.3 14.7 47 23 2.0 2.8 44.4 39.7 86.4 2.96 126.7 54.3
Nasir Robinson Nasir Robinson F 38 29.1 10.6 6.6 2.1 0.6 0.2 2.1 5.6 12.4 -52 34 -1.5 -2.2 59.6 33.3 53.2 -2.55 81.6 59.9
Lamar Patterson Lamar Patterson G 36 28.4 9.6 5.3 3.6 1.1 0.3 1.7 5.0 13.1 22 32 0.7 1.0 40.3 39.1 72.5 2.82 84.8 47.2
J.J. Moore J.J. Moore F 37 18.4 7.6 3.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.0 3.3 7.4 64 34 1.9 4.3 41.0 29.0 76.1 2.94 99.5 48.4
Talib Zanna Talib Zanna F 38 19.1 6.1 5.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 2.6 9.3 21 34 0.6 1.3 56.0 0 59.6 -1.69 94.8 56.0
Dante Taylor Dante Taylor F 36 18.9 5.9 5.0 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.9 8.5 -28 32 -0.9 -2.1 56.3 0.0 57.1 -3.29 86.8 56.3
Khem Birch Khem Birch F 10 15.0 4.4 5.0 0.0 0.2 1.9 0.7 2.6 8.2 34 9 3.8 12.0 57.7 0 50.0 2.0 70.3 57.7
John Johnson John Johnson G 38 13.9 4.2 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.3 3.1 54 34 1.6 4.7 39.3 40.0 83.3 2.86 79.3 51.7
Cameron Wright Cameron Wright G 36 11.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.7 2.3 -50 32 -1.6 -5.8 32.8 8.3 72.2 -2.28 58.8 33.6
Nick Rivers Nick Rivers G 8 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 -0.1 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 -1.21 66.7 50.0
Malcolm Gilbert Malcolm Gilbert C 19 4.9 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.4 30 14 2.1 17.6 100.0 0 0 1.1 225.0 100.0
Isaiah Epps Isaiah Epps G 17 5.8 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 -17 16 -1.1 -7.2 6.7 0.0 0.0 -1.17 6.1 6.7
Aron Phillips-Nwankwo Aron Phillips-Nwankwo F 5 1.6 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.52 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG