Penn St.-Du Bois
Also known as: Penn St.-Du Bois
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#291) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 958 (#320) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 949 (#483) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -35.3 (#584) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.002 (#714) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.020 (#716) | AdjNet -33.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.018 (#718) | AdjNet -33.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.043 (#752) | AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 107.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.130 (#595) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 86.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.106 (#579) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.114 (#581) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 875 (#397) | RD 248 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 47 - 100 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Fortson | - | 1 | 31.7 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 40.0 | 80.0 | - | 59.8 | 50.0 |
| Niare Poplar | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 75.2 | 62.5 |
| Owen Pearson | - | 1 | 24.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brad Weber | - | 1 | 13.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jordin Sommers | - | 1 | 26.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Kamal Ferrell | - | 1 | 19.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alex Preston | - | 1 | 13.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 23.1 | 0.0 |
| Cole Love | - | 1 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -8.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG