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Indiana (PA)

Also known as: Indiana (PA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1141 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1193 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1160 (#30) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +15.6 (#41) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +15.2 (#100) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.672 (#239) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +73.0 More → 1.000 (#21) NetEff +73.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.0 More → 0.760 (#261) AdjNet +10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.9 More → 0.760 (#264) AdjNet +9.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.660 (#267) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 69.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.777 (#29) AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.839 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.835 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 20 More → 1284 (#16) RD 100 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Concord W 93 - 74
2025-11-15 vs Lincoln (PA) W 82 - 57
2025-11-22 vs Ashland L 80 - 82
2025-11-23 vs D'Youville W 94 - 66
2025-11-30 vs St. Thomas Aquinas W 78 - 64
2025-12-05 @ Kutztown W 78 - 71
2025-12-16 vs Mansfield W 111 - 71
2025-12-20 @ Bloomsburg W 87 - 55
2025-12-21 @ East Stroudsburg W 96 - 82
2026-01-02 vs West Chester L 83 - 88
2026-01-03 vs Millersville W 80 - 77
2026-01-07 vs Pitt.-Johnstown W 80 - 70
2026-01-14 @ Slippery Rock W 89 - 73
2026-01-17 @ Gannon L 65 - 92
2026-01-21 vs Edinboro W 93 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Clarion W 73 - 68
2026-01-28 vs California (PA) L 77 - 84
2026-01-31 @ Seton Hill W 95 - 84
2026-02-04 vs Penn St.-Du Bois W 100 - 47
2026-02-07 @ Edinboro W 73 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dallis Dillard - 20 33.0 20.6 6.3 5.0 2.9 0.1 2.8 15.6 16.4 13 0.7 4.6 47.3 39.0 76.2 0.59 58.0 53.9
Christian Moore - 19 30.5 17.5 3.4 2.8 1.6 0.1 1.6 12.3 11.5 -113 -5.4 -23.4 49.1 41.4 87.0 0.51 65.5 62.6
Kymani Merraro - 20 29.4 13.3 2.4 3.4 0.9 0.1 2.1 10.1 7.9 12 0.6 4.5 45.3 38.2 82.3 1.02 58.5 53.7
Damir Brooks - 20 26.2 9.8 6.0 1.9 0.9 1.3 1.1 5.7 13.2 39 1.9 17.9 69.3 0 61.7 -1.39 69.4 69.3
Tyler Grove - 19 16.4 7.7 2.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 6.6 3.7 -44 -2.3 -22.9 41.3 35.2 64.7 -1.79 54.7 53.6
Ralphie Blundo - 2 14.7 6.0 3.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.5 6.0 - - - 36.4 44.4 0 - 54.5 54.5
Ian Herring - 19 18.8 5.7 4.5 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.8 4.5 6.9 -16 -0.9 -9.2 48.8 36.4 65.0 -1.86 57.5 55.8
Bautista Rodriguez - 19 24.7 5.5 4.8 1.5 0.8 0.5 1.4 4.7 7.1 54 2.8 32.1 43.8 21.1 67.6 0.73 50.5 46.1
Luke Triggs - 20 12.7 4.2 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 3.6 3.3 4 0.2 4.4 51.4 25.0 36.4 2.45 54.0 54.9
Sarp Furtun - 16 12.0 2.3 2.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 2.1 2.9 -8 -0.5 -40.1 35.3 30.4 100.0 1.54 50.5 45.6
Harry Keighley - 2 6.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.5 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Alfonso Pickens Jr. - 3 5.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3 8 2.7 18.7 50.0 0.0 0 0.54 50.0 50.0
Anthony Watson - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG