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Pacific

Also known as: Pacific Tigers, Pacific
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

57.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
-15.0
Margin
41.1%
FG%
42.1%
3P%
57.4%
FT%
25.3
RPG
11.0
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.0
Adj PPG
60.7
Adj Opp PPG
#130
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1063 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1088 (#111) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1074 (#75) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +2.5 (#129) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.4 (#202) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.529 (#150) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.7 More โ†’ 0.576 (#140) AdjNet +2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.575 (#141) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 60.7 More โ†’ 0.552 (#130) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 59.5 More โ†’ 0.482 (#189) AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 59.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.570 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.556 (#138) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1086 (#110) RD 108 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Holy Names Hawks W 76 - 38
2012-11-16 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 61 - 66
2012-11-19 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 67 - 69
2012-11-22 @ Xavier Musketeers W 70 - 67
2012-11-23 @ Saint Mary's Gaels W 76 - 66
2012-11-25 @ California Golden Bears L 58 - 78
2012-12-01 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 67 - 85
2012-12-04 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 78 - 72
2012-12-08 vs San Francisco Dons W 67 - 59
2012-12-15 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 71 - 75
2012-12-19 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 46 - 74
2012-12-21 vs California Maritime Keelhaulers W 80 - 42
2012-12-29 @ Long Beach State Beach L 63 - 67
2013-01-05 @ UC Davis Aggies W 74 - 64
2013-01-10 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 80 - 62
2013-01-12 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 77 - 55
2013-01-17 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 52 - 60
2013-01-19 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 74 - 62
2013-01-24 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 63 - 58
2013-01-26 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 71 - 67
2013-02-02 vs UC Davis Aggies W 77 - 64
2013-02-07 @ Cal Poly Mustangs L 62 - 67
2013-02-09 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 53 - 66
2013-02-14 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 66 - 59
2013-02-16 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 80 - 71
2013-02-20 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 59 - 68
2013-02-23 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 62 - 67
2013-02-28 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 64 - 55
2013-03-02 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 70 - 68
2013-03-07 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 70 - 62
2013-03-09 vs Long Beach State Beach W 71 - 51
2013-03-14 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 71 - 68
2013-03-15 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 55 - 53
2013-03-16 vs UC Irvine Anteaters T 0 - 0
2013-03-22 @ Miami Hurricanes L 49 - 78

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lorenzo McCloud Lorenzo McCloud G 35 28.5 11.1 3.0 4.0 0.7 0.1 2.1 1.6 15.2 41 25 1.6 2.5 50.9 58.8 78.6 3.91 318.8 60.0
Travis Fulton Travis Fulton F 35 24.5 9.4 4.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.1 1.3 13.5 69 25 2.8 4.8 56.8 47.8 57.1 3.45 327.0 69.3
Sama Taku Sama Taku G 35 25.2 8.1 3.5 1.9 0.9 0.0 1.8 1.3 11.3 -71 25 -2.8 -4.9 39.1 40.0 58.3 -5.06 276.9 45.7
Ross Rivera Ross Rivera F 33 17.9 7.6 2.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.0 9.0 -1 24 0.0 -0.1 38.2 11.1 50.0 0.1 319.5 39.7
Tony Gill Tony Gill F 35 17.4 7.2 3.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.8 1.2 9.8 43 25 1.7 4.0 61.9 71.4 62.5 0.25 277.9 73.8
Colin Beatty Colin Beatty G 35 23.0 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.6 9.9 -32 25 -1.3 -2.4 22.7 20.0 0 -2.26 465.9 27.3
Khalil Kelley Khalil Kelley F 35 17.1 5.3 3.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 8.6 -39 25 -1.6 -4.0 54.3 0 25.0 -3.62 230.9 54.3
Rodrigo De Souza Rodrigo De Souza G 35 18.0 4.5 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.0 0.8 0.7 8.0 40 25 1.6 3.8 40.0 38.9 90.0 -0.88 267.0 54.0
Markus Duran Markus Duran G 27 9.8 3.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 4.0 34 18 1.9 9.1 41.2 35.7 100.0 0.08 234.4 55.9
Trevin Harris Trevin Harris F 35 10.9 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.5 5.2 60 25 2.4 9.3 52.9 40.0 50.0 2.42 295.8 64.7
Tim Thomas Tim Thomas C 20 6.0 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 3.0 -13 12 -1.1 -8.1 55.6 0 66.7 -2.67 197.6 55.6
Aaron Short Aaron Short F 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Andrew Bock Andrew Bock G 21 8.9 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.3 2.0 21 16 1.3 6.1 28.6 25.0 100.0 1.23 196.7 35.7
Spencer Llewellyn Spencer Llewellyn G 8 3.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 -5 5 -1.0 -11.5 50.0 0 0 -1.87 125.0 50.0
Jordan Turner Jordan Turner F 13 4.6 0.4 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.7 -14 7 -2.0 -26.6 20.0 0.0 0.0 -3.19 46.0 20.0
Reed Kamler Reed Kamler G 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG