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2012-12-08

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“

Actual: Pacific Tigers +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Dickerson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 1 14 26 -
Cody Doolin * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 3 0 5 5 15 -
Tim Derksen * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 7 11 -
De'End Parker * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 7 11 -
Tao Xu * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Mark Tollefsen 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 14 18 -
Chris Adams 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Frank Rogers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Matt Christiansen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorenzo McCloud * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 2 0 2 4 13 -
Travis Fulton * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 12 17 -
Colin Beatty * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 4 10 -
Khalil Kelley * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 10 16 -
Sama Taku * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 -
Rodrigo De Souza 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
Tony Gill 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 12 -
Ross Rivera 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 17 21 -
Trevin Harris 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
Andrew Bock 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 3 -
Markus Duran 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter