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Portland Trail Blazers

Also known as: Portland Trail Blazers
Program History

2007 Team Stats (18 games)

92.6
PPG
100.9
Opp
-8.3
Margin
44.7%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
40.2
RPG
19.4
APG
14.6
TO
92.9
Est. poss./game
92.5
Adj PPG
96.2
Adj Opp PPG
#26
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 896 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 926 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +63 elo More โ†’ 942 (#20) HCA +63 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -3.8 (#26) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -4.8 (#27) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.375 (#28) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.8 More โ†’ 0.345 (#27) NetEff -5.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.8 More โ†’ 0.392 (#25) AdjNet -3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.8 More โ†’ 0.392 (#25) AdjNet -3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.5 | AdjD 96.2 More โ†’ 0.416 (#26) AdjO 92.5 | AdjD 96.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 93.4 | AdjD 97.7 More โ†’ 0.404 (#27) AdjO 93.4 | AdjD 97.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.388 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.385 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 236 | GP 82 More โ†’ 937 (#23) RD 236 | GP 82

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2007-02-26 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 73 - 97
2007-03-01 vs Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2007-03-03 vs Sacramento Kings L 96 - 104
2007-03-06 vs San Antonio Spurs L 94 - 99
2007-03-11 vs Golden State Warriors W 106 - 87
2007-03-13 @ Denver Nuggets L 99 - 107
2007-03-14 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2007-03-16 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 111 - 116
2007-03-18 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 77 - 95
2007-03-20 vs Washington Wizards W 100 - 98
2007-03-22 @ New York Knicks W 92 - 86
2007-03-23 @ Atlanta Hawks W 102 - 100
2007-03-25 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 93 - 94
2007-03-26 @ Chicago Bulls L 89 - 100
2007-03-29 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2007-03-31 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2007-04-04 vs Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2007-04-06 @ Houston Rockets W 85 - 78
2007-04-07 @ Dallas Mavericks L 74 - 86
2007-04-09 @ San Antonio Spurs L 96 - 112
2007-04-11 vs Houston Rockets - Incomplete score
2007-04-13 @ LA Clippers L 89 - 107
2007-04-14 vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2007-04-16 @ Utah Jazz L 93 - 130
2007-04-18 vs Golden State Warriors L 98 - 120

2007 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zach Randolph G 9 34.1 20.3 9.4 3.4 0.7 0.2 4.0 17.2 12.9 - - - - 45.8 33.3 77.1 - 52.0 47.1
Brandon Roy G 14 37.9 18.2 5.1 4.4 1.1 0.1 2.4 15.7 10.9 - - - - 44.5 40.5 87.5 - 52.9 48.4
LaMarcus Aldridge LaMarcus Aldridge G 12 32.0 15.1 8.5 0.6 0.8 1.7 0.8 12.4 13.5 - - - - 53.0 0 69.7 - 55.3 53.0
Travis Outlaw G 18 23.8 10.8 3.0 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.8 9.9 5.4 - - - - 40.2 0.0 86.2 - 47.4 40.2
Jarrett Jack Jarrett Jack G 18 31.9 10.5 2.9 5.2 0.7 0.1 2.8 8.1 8.6 - - - - 46.2 37.5 81.6 - 56.7 51.4
Jamaal Magloire Jamaal Magloire G 18 24.6 8.7 7.9 0.4 0.3 0.9 2.1 6.5 9.6 - - - - 51.3 0 51.4 - 52.8 51.3
Martell Webster G 18 23.2 7.9 3.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.9 6.4 5.1 - - - - 43.1 33.3 74.3 - 54.4 50.4
Ime Udoka G 15 26.6 7.4 3.6 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.6 6.7 6.5 - - - - 43.6 44.2 57.1 - 53.3 53.0
Raef LaFrentz G 7 20.2 5.7 3.7 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 5.3 5.3 - - - - 48.6 0.0 66.7 - 50.5 48.6
Dan Dickau G 14 9.9 4.4 1.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 3.9 2.9 - - - - 43.6 41.2 53.8 - 51.1 50.0
Sergio Rodriguez G 18 14.1 4.4 1.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 1.6 4.3 3.0 - - - - 40.3 30.8 71.4 - 48.1 45.5
Fred Jones G 17 16.3 3.9 1.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.8 3.8 3.4 - - - - 36.9 18.8 93.8 - 45.8 39.2
Luke Schenscher G 7 10.4 1.0 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.1 1.4 - - - - 6.7 0 83.3 - 19.8 6.7
Jeremy Richardson - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG