Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +12 (86-74). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Magloire * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 22 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dan Dickau * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Luke Schenscher * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 27 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 12-19 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Devean George * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Maurice Ager * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter