Ozarks (MO)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 780 (#764) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -24.3 (#723) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.776 (#303) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.367 (#419) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.362 (#415) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.417 (#418) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.191 (#745) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 79.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.109 (#743) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.117 (#744) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 621 (#635) | RD 146 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasshir Pina-Warren | - | 1 | 38.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 52.9 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 1.51 | 69.9 | 70.6 |
| Eyal Shamri | - | 5 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 8.4 | 6.2 | -31 | -1.8 | -12.4 | 54.8 | 35.0 | 87.5 | -0.46 | 65.9 | 63.1 |
| DJ MIller | - | 5 | 26.8 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 4.6 | 9.8 | 4.4 | -134 | -6.7 | -40.5 | 42.9 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -1.57 | 50.9 | 46.9 |
| Jacob Jackson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -44 | -3.4 | -109.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.6 | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Vanya Nikolic | - | 5 | 27.9 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | -121 | -6.0 | -35.9 | 38.5 | 36.7 | 75.0 | -0.56 | 54.0 | 52.6 |
| Dylan Archery | - | 5 | 33.9 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 6.6 | - | - | - | 38.1 | 32.0 | 100.0 | - | 49.6 | 47.6 |
| Adam Lopez | - | 5 | 23.4 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 9.0 | -64 | -3.6 | -22.3 | 51.9 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.51 | 56.6 | 51.9 |
| Kidus Getenet | - | 1 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | -28 | -1.5 | -10.0 | 16.7 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 27.2 | 20.8 |
| Jagger Worley | - | 5 | 27.1 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 5.4 | -45 | -2.2 | -14.1 | 41.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -1.05 | 54.9 | 54.8 |
| Jordan Hudgins | - | 1 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.15 | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Dylan Ducharme | - | 3 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.0 | -27 | -1.7 | -29.8 | 20.0 | 0 | 90.0 | 0.6 | 58.5 | 20.0 |
| Ryan Dupre | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -30 | -1.6 | -23.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Tyce Gentry | - | 5 | 14.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | -43 | -2.9 | -24.4 | 31.2 | 30.8 | 0 | -3.58 | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Jaxon Hand | - | 5 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.4 | -47 | -2.4 | -44.4 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.77 | 38.1 | 39.3 |
| Luke Proctor | - | 4 | 13.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.2 | -68 | -4.5 | -2065.8 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 40.0 | 21.4 |
| Mateus Goncalo | - | 4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -7 | -1.0 | -53.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.86 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Cross | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -13 | -2.6 | -206.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 0 | 0 |
| Roberto Brandao | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 35.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG