Austin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 810 (#610) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 795 (#594) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 893 (#685) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.9 (#297) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.2 (#629) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.280 (#612) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.128 (#596) | AdjNet -16.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.121 (#601) | AdjNet -17.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.239 (#607) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 81.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.297 (#672) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 76.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.191 (#668) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.206 (#669) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 820 (#546) | RD 103 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Lyon | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Howard Payne | L | 78 - 86 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Millsaps | L | 71 - 92 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Belhaven | W | 104 - 98 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Dallas | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Lyon | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Millsaps | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Belhaven | L | 80 - 88 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Dallas | L | 81 - 90 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Howard Payne | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Colorado Col. | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 46 - 86 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Centenary (LA) | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | LeTourneau | L | 53 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Hendrix | W | 82 - 52 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | LeTourneau | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Texas Lutheran | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Concordia (TX) | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Fleming | - | 2 | 33.5 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | -17 | -0.9 | -4.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.95 | 75.2 | 60.0 |
| Jaden Braden | - | 1 | 36.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | -24 | -1.3 | -4.2 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.26 | 55.0 | 41.7 |
| Kane Broussard | - | 1 | 37.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 27 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.18 | 71.5 | 68.2 |
| Kidus Getenet | - | 13 | 31.7 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 13.1 | 8.3 | -28 | -1.5 | -10.0 | 42.9 | 24.3 | 74.1 | 0.3 | 52.9 | 48.2 |
| Chandler Holmes | - | 2 | 32.5 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 13.5 | -56 | -3.1 | -18.7 | 47.6 | 50.0 | 87.5 | -2.87 | 63.2 | 57.1 |
| Benjamin Stewart | - | 1 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 104 | 5.2 | 49.3 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 84.5 | 81.2 |
| Logan Brinkoeter | - | 1 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 147 | 7.3 | 33.6 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.48 | 63.1 | 63.6 |
| Sawyer Batz | - | 1 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -3.1 | 57.1 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 3.53 | 79.9 | 78.6 |
| Jamien June | - | 9 | 30.0 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 4.1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | -111 | -6.2 | -49.9 | 42.6 | 20.0 | 79.3 | -0.38 | 49.7 | 44.9 |
| Shobby Enakpene | - | 1 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -79 | -3.6 | -20.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.37 | 51.4 | 50.0 |
| Luke Hatcher | - | 1 | 34.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | -41 | -2.2 | -10.7 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.03 | 40.9 | 40.0 |
| DJ Jones | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 6.3 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.21 | 55.1 | 55.0 |
| Tasshir Pina-Warren | - | 13 | 27.6 | 12.0 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 6.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 47.2 | 37.1 | 62.5 | 1.51 | 57.5 | 56.4 |
| Jaxon Toney | - | 1 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.48 | 55.7 | 55.6 |
| Ethan Pearce | - | 8 | 24.2 | 10.9 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 13.6 | -6 | -0.7 | -4.0 | 57.8 | 16.7 | 44.4 | 1.21 | 57.3 | 58.6 |
| Rodney Phillips Jr. | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 42 | 2.3 | 11.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.15 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Aiden Schnurr | - | 4 | 31.1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 40.6 | 40.0 | 75.0 | - | 56.3 | 53.1 |
| Luke LeFors | - | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.14 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Neal Terry | - | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 93 | 4.7 | 52.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.17 | 51.4 | 57.1 |
| Jackson Mayes | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 109 | 4.7 | 24.7 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 1.1 | 50.7 | 43.8 |
| Luke Mills | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 36 | 1.8 | 18.2 | 80.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 73.5 | 80.0 |
| Dakota Gasca | - | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -42 | -2.6 | -155.1 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.04 | 40.0 | 28.6 |
| Bryce Evans | - | 1 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -19 | -1.0 | -4.4 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 0 | 1.76 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Max Frels | - | 1 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 69 | 3.8 | 30.3 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 3.06 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Ryan Dupre | - | 13 | 19.0 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 6.6 | -30 | -1.6 | -23.4 | 52.5 | 48.6 | 50.0 | -0.41 | 65.6 | 66.4 |
| Davion James | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 66 | 3.7 | 22.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.21 | 31.8 | 33.3 |
| Kam Beverly | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 32 | 1.6 | 22.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.25 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hadrian Reitsma | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -35 | -3.5 | -43.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -1.17 | 57.7 | 33.3 |
| Peyton Gonzales | - | 9 | 22.1 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 0.6 | -38 | -2.2 | -14.8 | 35.5 | 13.6 | 60.0 | 0.06 | 39.9 | 37.9 |
| Terrence Bryant | - | 2 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | -115 | -7.7 | -318.3 | 17.6 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.09 | 26.7 | 20.6 |
| Rory Coplin | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 39 | 3.0 | 26.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Me'khai Taylor | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 30 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.08 | 52.5 | 33.3 |
| David Comebest Jr. | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -22 | -2.2 | -8.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Zion Owens | - | 1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 15.5 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.54 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jordan Hudgins | - | 13 | 27.3 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 10.7 | 11 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 53.8 | 1.15 | 43.4 | 41.5 |
| Michael Kennedy | - | 2 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | -55 | -2.8 | -21.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.94 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Jak Kinder | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 52 | 2.9 | 40.9 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.98 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jacob Jackson | - | 10 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 | -44 | -3.4 | -109.5 | 30.4 | 16.7 | 90.9 | -1.6 | 46.7 | 34.8 |
| Neo Franco | - | 1 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 12.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.09 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Braylon Dame | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -5.0 | 128 | 6.4 | 72.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.09 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Charleston Wallace | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ryan Clemons | - | 4 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -16 | -3.2 | -254.3 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 45.7 | 42.9 |
| Suraj Olasode | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -15 | -0.8 | -14.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.45 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Dalton White | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -18 | -1.6 | -46.3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Tyler Cross | - | 5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | -13 | -2.6 | -206.6 | 75.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.78 | 60.8 | 75.0 |
| Gabe Markhart | - | 6 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | -24 | -2.4 | -381.5 | 36.4 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Wesley Westbrooks | - | 3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -18 | -3.6 | -268.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.16 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Fred Nnyina | - | 4 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Mack Gorton | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11 | 1.6 | 58.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Samuel Holt | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ben Simms | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Smith | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 4 | 0.5 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| RJ VanBeber | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Hoffman | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sebastian Loder | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -43 | -3.3 | -134.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Kalen Williamson | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -36 | -2.8 | -73.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Spears | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 7 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Eric Arreola | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.3 | 21.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ben Formby | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -2.3 | -45.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Martinez | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 36 | 2.2 | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.72 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Penosky | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ezra Seay | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 28 | 4.7 | 50.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.62 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG