🐻⬇️🏀

Austin

Also known as: Austin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 810 (#610) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 795 (#594) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 893 (#685) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.9 (#297) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -16.2 (#629) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.280 (#612) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.6 More → 0.128 (#596) AdjNet -16.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.0 More → 0.121 (#601) AdjNet -17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 81.5 More → 0.239 (#607) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 81.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.297 (#672) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 76.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.191 (#668) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.206 (#669) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 20 More → 820 (#546) RD 103 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Lyon L 62 - 66
2025-11-15 @ Howard Payne L 78 - 86
2025-11-24 @ Millsaps L 71 - 92
2025-11-25 @ Belhaven W 104 - 98
2025-12-03 vs Dallas L 59 - 67
2025-12-14 vs Lyon W 74 - 71
2025-12-17 vs Millsaps L 59 - 69
2025-12-20 vs Southwestern (TX) L 73 - 75
2025-12-31 vs Belhaven L 80 - 88
2026-01-03 @ Dallas L 81 - 90
2026-01-06 vs Howard Payne W 78 - 77
2026-01-09 @ Colorado Col. L 69 - 87
2026-01-11 @ St. Thomas (TX) L 46 - 86
2026-01-16 vs Centenary (LA) L 63 - 68
2026-01-17 vs LeTourneau L 53 - 72
2026-01-21 vs Hendrix W 82 - 52
2026-01-22 vs Ozarks (AR) W 79 - 71
2026-01-30 @ Centenary (LA) L 68 - 71
2026-01-31 @ LeTourneau L 69 - 82
2026-02-07 @ Texas Lutheran W 80 - 71
2026-02-08 @ Concordia (TX) L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Thomas Fleming - 2 33.5 21.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 19.0 -17 -0.9 -4.5 50.0 50.0 100.0 1.95 75.2 60.0
Jaden Braden - 1 36.0 19.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 15.0 -24 -1.3 -4.2 41.7 0.0 75.0 -1.26 55.0 41.7
Kane Broussard - 1 37.0 17.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 12.0 27 1.4 4.4 45.5 50.0 100.0 1.18 71.5 68.2
Kidus Getenet - 13 31.7 15.9 5.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.2 13.1 8.3 -28 -1.5 -10.0 42.9 24.3 74.1 0.3 52.9 48.2
Chandler Holmes - 2 32.5 15.5 4.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 10.5 13.5 -56 -3.1 -18.7 47.6 50.0 87.5 -2.87 63.2 57.1
Benjamin Stewart - 1 22.0 15.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 104 5.2 49.3 62.5 50.0 100.0 -0.4 84.5 81.2
Logan Brinkoeter - 1 33.0 15.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 20.0 147 7.3 33.6 63.6 0.0 50.0 3.48 63.1 63.6
Sawyer Batz - 1 28.0 14.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 18.0 -6 -0.3 -3.1 57.1 60.0 75.0 3.53 79.9 78.6
Jamien June - 9 30.0 13.3 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.3 4.1 12.0 5.0 -111 -6.2 -49.9 42.6 20.0 79.3 -0.38 49.7 44.9
Shobby Enakpene - 1 16.0 13.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 6.0 -79 -3.6 -20.4 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.37 51.4 50.0
Luke Hatcher - 1 34.0 13.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 9.0 -41 -2.2 -10.7 33.3 28.6 50.0 -0.03 40.9 40.0
DJ Jones - 1 24.0 12.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 11 2.8 6.3 50.0 25.0 50.0 -0.21 55.1 55.0
Tasshir Pina-Warren - 13 27.6 12.0 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.1 2.5 9.6 6.2 -4 -0.2 -1.3 47.2 37.1 62.5 1.51 57.5 56.4
Jaxon Toney - 1 20.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 9.0 14.0 -4 -0.2 -2.5 55.6 0.0 50.0 -0.48 55.7 55.6
Ethan Pearce - 8 24.2 10.9 7.8 1.4 2.1 1.2 1.8 8.0 13.6 -6 -0.7 -4.0 57.8 16.7 44.4 1.21 57.3 58.6
Rodney Phillips Jr. - 1 19.0 10.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 42 2.3 11.7 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.15 56.3 50.0
Aiden Schnurr - 4 31.1 10.0 3.0 2.2 1.0 0.0 1.5 8.0 6.8 - - - 40.6 40.0 75.0 - 56.3 53.1
Luke LeFors - 1 16.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 5 0.3 3.6 100.0 100.0 0 -1.14 150.0 150.0
Neal Terry - 1 22.0 9.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 93 4.7 52.4 57.1 0 25.0 0.17 51.4 57.1
Jackson Mayes - 1 32.0 9.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 109 4.7 24.7 37.5 20.0 100.0 1.1 50.7 43.8
Luke Mills - 1 19.0 8.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 36 1.8 18.2 80.0 0 0.0 -1.6 73.5 80.0
Dakota Gasca - 1 19.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 -42 -2.6 -155.1 28.6 0.0 75.0 1.04 40.0 28.6
Bryce Evans - 1 29.0 7.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 9.0 13.0 -19 -1.0 -4.4 33.3 16.7 0 1.76 38.9 38.9
Max Frels - 1 25.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 69 3.8 30.3 75.0 50.0 0 3.06 87.5 87.5
Ryan Dupre - 13 19.0 6.7 2.7 2.1 0.6 0.6 1.4 4.7 6.6 -30 -1.6 -23.4 52.5 48.6 50.0 -0.41 65.6 66.4
Davion James - 1 21.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 6.0 66 3.7 22.4 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.21 31.8 33.3
Kam Beverly - 1 16.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 32 1.6 22.3 50.0 0 0 -3.25 50.0 50.0
Hadrian Reitsma - 1 20.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -35 -3.5 -43.1 33.3 0.0 80.0 -1.17 57.7 33.3
Peyton Gonzales - 9 22.1 5.9 2.0 0.9 1.0 0.2 2.6 6.9 0.6 -38 -2.2 -14.8 35.5 13.6 60.0 0.06 39.9 37.9
Terrence Bryant - 2 21.0 5.0 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 8.5 1.0 -115 -7.7 -318.3 17.6 25.0 75.0 0.09 26.7 20.6
Rory Coplin - 1 14.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 39 3.0 26.3 66.7 0 100.0 0.21 72.7 66.7
Me'khai Taylor - 1 11.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 30 2.5 8.5 33.3 0 75.0 -0.08 52.5 33.3
David Comebest Jr. - 1 18.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 -22 -2.2 -8.4 66.7 0 0 -0.57 66.7 66.7
Zion Owens - 1 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 11 0.6 15.5 66.7 0.0 0 0.54 66.7 66.7
Jordan Hudgins - 13 27.3 3.9 6.8 4.3 0.6 0.8 1.7 4.1 10.7 11 0.6 4.2 41.5 0.0 53.8 1.15 43.4 41.5
Michael Kennedy - 2 13.5 3.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.5 5.0 -55 -2.8 -21.7 60.0 0 0 -2.94 60.0 60.0
Jak Kinder - 1 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 52 2.9 40.9 25.0 33.3 0 1.98 37.5 37.5
Jacob Jackson - 10 7.8 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.3 1.4 -44 -3.4 -109.5 30.4 16.7 90.9 -1.6 46.7 34.8
Neo Franco - 1 26.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 26 1.2 12.7 16.7 0.0 0 -1.09 16.7 16.7
Braylon Dame - 1 13.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 -5.0 128 6.4 72.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.09 20.5 0.0
Charleston Wallace - 1 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2 0.1 1.7 100.0 0 0 -0.23 100.0 100.0
Ryan Clemons - 4 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.8 -16 -3.2 -254.3 28.6 66.7 50.0 -0.78 45.7 42.9
Suraj Olasode - 1 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -15 -0.8 -14.4 100.0 0 0 0.45 100.0 100.0
Dalton White - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -18 -1.6 -46.3 0 0 100.0 -0.4 113.6 0
Tyler Cross - 5 3.9 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.6 -13 -2.6 -206.6 75.0 0 25.0 -0.78 60.8 75.0
Gabe Markhart - 6 10.8 1.3 2.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.8 1.8 1.7 -24 -2.4 -381.5 36.4 0 0 -0.78 36.4 36.4
Wesley Westbrooks - 3 3.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 -18 -3.6 -268.3 100.0 0 0 -1.16 100.0 100.0
Fred Nnyina - 4 4.2 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Mack Gorton - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11 1.6 58.0 0 0 0 -0.44 0 0
Samuel Holt - 1 15.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ben Simms - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brock Smith - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 4 0.5 7.8 0 0 0 0.07 0 0
RJ VanBeber - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Patrick Hoffman - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sebastian Loder - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -43 -3.3 -134.9 0 0 0 -0.17 0 0
Kalen Williamson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -36 -2.8 -73.3 0 0 0 0.29 0 0
Ryan Spears - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 7 0.6 6.2 0.0 0 0 -0.49 0.0 0.0
Eric Arreola - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 1 0.3 21.1 0.0 0 0 0.34 0.0 0.0
Ben Formby - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -2.3 -45.0 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
David Martinez - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 36 2.2 16.1 0 0 0 1.72 0 0
Patrick Penosky - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4 0.7 8.2 0.0 0 0 -0.93 0.0 0.0
Ezra Seay - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 28 4.7 50.4 0 0 0 -0.62 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG