🐻⬇️🏀

Schreiner

Also known as: Schreiner
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 915 (#510) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 996 (#386) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 944 (#611) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -5.9 (#288) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -13.5 (#590) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.367 (#555) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.346 (#429) AdjNet -5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.9 More → 0.335 (#431) AdjNet -5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 81.0 More → 0.406 (#429) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 81.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 84.4 More → 0.317 (#654) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 84.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.262 (#617) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.272 (#617) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 929 (#447) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Howard Payne - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Hardin-Simmons - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Redlands - Incomplete score
2025-11-16 @ La Verne - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Sam Houston - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs McMurry - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 @ McMurry - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Southwestern (TX) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Marietta - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 vs Mary Washington - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Hardin-Simmons - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 vs Howard Payne - Incomplete score
2026-01-09 vs LeTourneau - Incomplete score
2026-01-11 vs Centenary (LA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 @ Texas Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-01-18 @ Concordia (TX) - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 @ St. Thomas (TX) - Incomplete score
2026-01-25 @ Colorado Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Ozarks (AR) - Incomplete score
2026-02-01 vs Hendrix - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 vs St. Thomas (TX) - Incomplete score
2026-02-08 vs Colorado Col. - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Asher Nofziger - 1 30.6 21.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 19.0 4 0.2 1.9 53.8 50.0 66.7 2.14 61.9 57.7
Dylan Snow - 20 30.6 16.8 2.9 3.0 1.1 0.0 1.7 14.6 7.4 -102 -4.6 -20.4 40.9 32.7 82.2 -2.55 51.8 47.3
Justin Gooden - 20 26.6 14.6 2.0 2.6 1.9 0.1 2.1 11.2 8.1 47 2.5 10.8 46.6 29.4 79.7 2.85 57.1 52.2
Camden Hyman - 20 19.9 10.8 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.2 7.6 7.2 11 0.6 3.4 41.4 41.7 77.3 0.19 59.9 54.6
Gavin Carter - 1 34.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 5.0 7 0.4 2.7 50.0 40.0 0 -0.08 62.5 62.5
Mason McGowan - 20 28.2 9.6 5.0 2.4 0.6 0.3 1.3 9.6 7.1 29 1.5 6.3 33.0 31.8 84.2 0.88 48.2 46.1
Mario Johnson - 16 25.5 7.7 8.0 3.2 1.1 1.5 1.4 6.3 13.8 -10 -0.7 -4.4 53.5 26.7 42.3 -0.85 54.7 55.4
Carson Diamond - 20 21.0 7.2 6.3 1.9 0.4 0.7 1.4 5.8 9.3 53 2.8 14.6 51.3 18.8 67.6 2.06 55.4 52.6
Hudson Czarnecki - 18 15.1 7.2 3.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.9 5.4 6.2 54 3.2 33.3 48.0 34.5 73.5 3.53 57.1 53.1
Christian Drummond - 1 20.4 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 - - - 28.6 33.3 50.0 - 40.0 35.7
Nick Nuedorfer - 20 12.7 5.0 3.0 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.9 3.5 5.3 40 2.1 15.8 47.1 28.6 64.4 4.01 56.2 51.4
Ty Hendler - 1 15.1 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 8 0.6 3.4 14.3 25.0 100.0 0.63 31.7 21.4
Orion Samikoglu - 1 11.3 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -14 -0.7 -19.2 50.0 50.0 0 -1.11 62.5 62.5
Braylon Toussaint - 1 7.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 107.8 100.0
Terrion Benson - 1 18.3 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 10 0.5 12.7 50.0 0 0.0 3.1 37.6 50.0
Russell MacFarlane - 1 6.4 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 -79 -4.0 -156.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -4.65 72.5 0.0
Nick Brashear - 1 9.3 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 8 0.5 55.2 33.3 100.0 0 -3.48 50.0 50.0
Noah Drenth - 19 10.4 2.6 2.7 0.5 0.1 0.7 1.1 2.7 2.8 -6 -0.3 -3.0 42.3 0 37.5 0.58 42.3 42.3
Cayden Munnilal - 17 7.6 2.5 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.5 1.4 -2 -0.1 -1.2 26.2 19.2 75.0 -0.97 41.3 32.1
TJ Satcher - 1 14.7 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 27 1.5 43.0 25.0 0.0 0 -1.1 25.0 25.0
Maddox Mineishi - 2 2.1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 -7 -3.5 -93.3 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Michael Robertson - 3 2.7 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.3 -150 -7.5 -29.7 66.7 0 0 -1.42 66.7 66.7
Felipe Valls - 6 6.4 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 2.2 0.0 -37 -6.2 -71.3 23.1 16.7 0 -3.77 26.9 26.9
Ethan To - 10 3.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.4 -14 -1.6 -27.6 20.0 16.7 50.0 -2.3 27.6 25.0
Nate Reiser - 6 4.3 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 -33 -6.6 -71.3 20.0 0.0 50.0 - 25.5 20.0
Jaedon Ross - 9 5.5 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 -17 -1.9 -55.1 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.53 19.6 0.0
Chino Ugorji - 7 3.4 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 2 0.4 13.6 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Angel Alonso - 5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 -1.0 -12 -3.0 -67.8 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kamran Dubois - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.8 32.6 0 0 0 1.21 0 0
Kyle Kihlberg - 1 16.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -4.0 -28 -1.4 -15.2 0.0 0 0 -0.01 0.0 0.0
Austin Bonilla - 1 3.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Blake Washington - 4 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.8 1 0.5 13.1 0.0 0.0 0 1.98 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG