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Oregon

Also known as: Oregon Ducks, Oregon
Program History

2020 Team Stats (23 games)

76.7
PPG
65.3
Opp
+11.4
Margin
47.8%
FG%
41.1%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
34.9
RPG
14.7
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.8
Adj PPG
62.4
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1378 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1298 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1148 (#28) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +16.7 (#11) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +15.5 (#16) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.814 (#20) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.4 More โ†’ 0.937 (#13) AdjNet +23.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.6 More โ†’ 0.939 (#13) AdjNet +23.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 62.4 More โ†’ 0.803 (#11) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 62.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 64.3 More โ†’ 0.727 (#11) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.857 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.846 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1331 (#11) RD 91 | GP 31

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 71 - 57
2019-11-09 vs Boise State Broncos W 106 - 75
2019-11-12 @ Memphis Tigers W 82 - 74
2019-11-17 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 67 - 47
2019-11-22 vs Houston Cougars W 78 - 66
2019-11-27 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 71 - 69
2019-11-28 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 72 - 73
2019-11-29 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 74 - 78
2019-12-07 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 89 - 64
2019-12-14 @ Michigan Wolverines W 71 - 70
2019-12-18 vs Montana Grizzlies W 81 - 48
2019-12-21 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 84 - 78
2019-12-29 vs Alabama State Hornets W 98 - 59
2020-01-02 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 65 - 74
2020-01-04 @ Utah Utes W 69 - 64
2020-01-09 vs Arizona Wildcats W 74 - 73
2020-01-11 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 78 - 69
2020-01-16 @ Washington State Cougars L 61 - 72
2020-01-18 @ Washington Huskies W 64 - 61
2020-01-23 vs USC Trojans W 79 - 70
2020-01-26 vs UCLA Bruins W 96 - 75
2020-01-30 @ California Golden Bears W 77 - 72
2020-02-01 @ Stanford Cardinal L 60 - 70
2020-02-08 @ Oregon State Beavers L 53 - 63
2020-02-13 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 68 - 60
2020-02-16 vs Utah Utes W 80 - 62
2020-02-20 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 72 - 77
2020-02-22 @ Arizona Wildcats W 73 - 72
2020-02-27 vs Oregon State Beavers W 69 - 54
2020-03-05 vs California Golden Bears W 90 - 56
2020-03-07 vs Stanford Cardinal W 80 - 67
2020-03-12 vs Oregon State Beavers - Preview

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Payton Pritchard Payton Pritchard - 29 36.9 20.7 4.5 5.5 1.5 0.0 2.6 15.1 14.5 271 30 9.0 10.1 46.7 40.8 83.3 6.7 60.4 55.8
J. Wiseman J. Wiseman - 1 22.0 14.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 17.0 - - - - 62.5 0.0 66.7 1.45 65.8 62.5
Chris Duarte Chris Duarte - 26 30.3 12.8 5.6 1.8 1.7 0.6 1.6 10.7 10.2 144 27 5.3 7.2 41.4 34.1 82.2 -0.36 53.9 49.3
Will Richardson Will Richardson - 29 30.7 11.1 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.2 1.6 8.4 8.7 198 30 6.6 8.8 47.3 45.5 84.8 1.37 59.0 54.5
Anthony Mathis Anthony Mathis G 29 23.6 8.8 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.6 6.2 5.8 213 30 7.1 12.6 46.9 47.2 79.2 4.2 67.3 65.9
Shakur Juiston Shakur Juiston F 24 28.2 7.9 6.2 2.2 1.0 0.6 1.9 7.1 8.8 131 25 5.2 7.7 49.7 20.6 52.0 0.29 52.2 51.8
N'Faly Dante N'Faly Dante - 12 13.6 5.8 2.8 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.9 4.2 5.5 16 12 1.3 4.2 62.7 0 40.0 -3.72 60.8 62.7
P. Achiuwa P. Achiuwa - 1 24.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 164 27 6.1 8.2 40.0 0.0 33.3 3.9 39.6 40.0
Addison Patterson Addison Patterson F 26 11.0 4.8 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.0 3.0 3.0 81 27 3.0 11.2 59.5 36.0 55.3 -0.07 64.8 65.2
Chandler Lawson Chandler Lawson - 29 19.6 4.4 3.9 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.8 3.4 6.3 141 30 4.7 10.0 52.0 100.0 66.7 0.01 55.4 52.5
Walker, C.J. Walker, C.J. F 26 14.3 3.6 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 3.9 2.5 89 27 3.3 9.2 37.6 27.6 43.5 0.16 42.3 41.6
Francis Okoro Francis Okoro - 27 17.4 3.4 4.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.7 2.2 6.1 98 28 3.5 8.3 57.6 0 48.0 -2.23 56.8 57.6
Luke Osborn Luke Osborn G 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.7 0 0
Eddy Ionescu Eddy Ionescu G 4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.84 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG