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2020-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Oregon Ducks Spread
Elo 28.9% (#167) 71.1% (#104) -
Bradley-Terry 21.0% (#92) 79.0% (#20) -
Margin 10.9% (#130) 89.1% (#38) Oregon Ducks -11.6
Pythagorean 23.2% (#74) 76.8% (#17) -
Efficiency 1.0% (#63) 99.0% (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% (#60) 89.3% (#18) -
Log Adjusted 10.5% (#60) 89.5% (#19) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Oregon State Beavers Oregon Ducks
Games 7 23
PPG 65.4 76.7
FG% 46.5% 47.8%
3PT% 28.8% 41.1%
FT% 75.2% 73.0%
RPG 30.0 34.9
APG 14.3 14.7
SPG 5.4 8.3
BPG 4.1 3.4
TOPG 11.9 11.7

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Oregon State Beavers Oregon Ducks
Adj. Off Eff 100.0 106.1
Adj. Def Eff 100.0 93.9
Adj. Net Eff -0.0 12.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Oregon State Beavers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
E. Thompson 15.0 4.3 5.3 0.8 0.3 36.3
T. Tinkle 16.4 7.8 3.0 2.0 0.3 34.6
Z. Reichle 8.0 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.1 32.0
K. Kelley 9.9 4.6 0.9 0.4 3.3 28.1
A. Hollins 6.6 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.3 23.3

Oregon Ducks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
P. Pritchard 20.7 4.5 5.5 1.5 0.0 36.9
W. Richardson 11.1 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.2 30.7
C. Duarte 12.8 5.6 1.8 1.7 0.6 30.3
S. Juiston 7.9 6.2 2.2 1.0 0.6 28.3
A. Mathis 8.8 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 23.6