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Oregon State

Also known as: Oregon State Beavers, Oregon State
Program History

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

102.0
PPG
61.0
Opp
+41.0
Margin
49.2%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
85.3%
FT%
54.0
RPG
17.0
APG
11.0
TO
80.0
Est. poss./game
72.9
Adj PPG
64.7
Adj Opp PPG
#18
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1118 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning +18, transfers +89, freshmen +23 More โ†’ 1124 (#94) Preseason prior 1118 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning +18, transfers +89, freshmen +23
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1024 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More โ†’ 1024 (#80) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +16.1 More โ†’ +12.1 (#19) HCA +16.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More โ†’ +12.1 (#19) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.997 (#16) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +51.3 More โ†’ 0.997 (#16) NetEff +51.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.8 More โ†’ 0.874 (#16) AdjNet +16.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.8 More โ†’ 0.878 (#16) AdjNet +16.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 64.7 More โ†’ 0.678 (#18) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 64.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 64.7 More โ†’ 0.678 (#18) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 64.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.717 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.717 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 1096 (#95) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Weber State Wildcats W 102 - 61
2026-11-06 vs California Baptist Lancers - Preview
2026-11-09 vs Eastern Washington Eagles - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daniel Freitag Daniel Freitag G 1 26.0 23.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 23.0 - - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 75.3 55.0
Deshawn Gory Deshawn Gory F 1 25.0 17.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 12.0 - - - - 44.4 50.0 80.0 - 63.4 50.0
Chris Johnson Chris Johnson G 1 19.0 13.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 14.0 - - - - 50.0 40.0 50.0 - 59.7 60.0
Legend Smiley Legend Smiley G 1 23.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 - - - - 50.0 42.9 0 - 68.8 68.8
Josiah Lake Josiah Lake G 1 26.0 10.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 - - - - 42.9 0.0 100.0 - 57.1 42.9
Jemai Lake Jemai Lake G 1 16.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 7.0 - - - - 60.0 100.0 100.0 - 85.0 80.0
Xavion Staton Xavion Staton C 1 24.0 10.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 16.0 - - - - 62.5 0.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Jackson Rasmussen Jackson Rasmussen F 1 8.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Yabi Aklog Yabi Aklog C 1 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Sean Blakely Drummond Sean Blakely Drummond G 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Kahu Treacher Kahu Treacher F 1 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Dennis Evans Dennis Evans C 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Peteris Pinnis Peteris Pinnis F 1 15.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Oregon State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Oregon State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Gary Payton II 2014-16 NBA Golden State Warriors 8 13.8 4.6 2.0 0.5 11-02 2 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast 8 GP, 4.6 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.5 APG
E. Watson 2017-21 EuroLeague Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade + G League 6 GP 9 19.6 7.9 2.7 1.7 10-30 15 pts, 6 reb, 4 ast 6 GP, 10.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.2 APG
Stephen Thompson 2015-19 G League Wisconsin Herd 32 33.6 17.7 6.1 4.6 03-28 11 pts, 10 reb, 10 ast no games
JaQuori McLaughlin 2016-18 G League Valley Suns 14 28.7 10.9 3.3 4.6 01-30 19 pts, 4 reb, 5 ast no games
Kylor Kelley 2018-20 G League South Bay Lakers 18 26.5 8.7 7.4 1.8 02-11 8 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast no games
Warith Alatishe 2020-22 G League Cleveland Charge 28 17.1 6.2 6.0 1.5 04-01 0 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast Playoffs no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-02 Gary Payton II NBA Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns 20 2 2 1 Box
2026-11-01 Gary Payton II NBA Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers 15 5 2 2 Box
2026-10-30 Gary Payton II NBA Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers 8 2 4 0 Box
2026-10-30 E. Watson EuroLeague Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade @ Zalgiris Kaunas 27 15 6 4 Box
2026-10-28 E. Watson EuroLeague Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade @ LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne 19 9 0 2 Box
2026-10-22 E. Watson EuroLeague Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade 27 6 5 0 Box
2026-10-16 Kylor Kelley NBA Preseason Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic 7 4 1 0 Box
2026-10-14 Kylor Kelley NBA Preseason Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets 6 2 2 0 Box
2026-10-13 Drew Eubanks NBA Preseason New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors 15 8 2 2 Box
2026-10-12 Drew Eubanks NBA Preseason New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves 7 4 0 0 Box
2026-10-05 Drew Eubanks NBA Preseason New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers 6 1 1 0 Box
2026-04-01 Warith Alatishe G League Playoffs Cleveland Charge vs Capital City Go-Go 6 0 2 0 Box
2026-03-28 Warith Alatishe G League Cleveland Charge vs Long Island Nets 19 10 9 2 Box
2026-03-28 Stephen Thompson G League Wisconsin Herd @ Raptors 905 34 11 10 10 Box
2026-03-26 Warith Alatishe G League Cleveland Charge @ Noblesville Boom 13 4 6 1 Box
2026-03-26 Stephen Thompson G League Wisconsin Herd @ Raptors 905 36 14 10 3 Box
2026-03-23 Stephen Thompson G League Wisconsin Herd vs College Park Skyhawks 36 5 6 6 Box
2026-02-11 Kylor Kelley G League South Bay Lakers vs San Diego Clippers 18 8 3 1 Box
2026-01-30 JaQuori McLaughlin G League Valley Suns vs Delaware Blue Coats 30 19 4 5 Box
2026-01-27 JaQuori McLaughlin G League Valley Suns vs Austin Spurs 29 15 2 5 Box
2026-01-21 JaQuori McLaughlin G League Valley Suns vs Stockton Kings 18 0 2 3 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

65 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Freitag24% Rasmussen33% Lake100% Gory100% Gory100% Freitag50% Johnson100% Johnson50% Lake50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Freitag17% Freitag33% Johnson100% Gory100% Freitag33% Smiley50% Lake100% Johnson29%
Misses: who misses most here

Chris JohnsonDaniel FreitagLegend SmileyDeshawn GoryJemai LakeJosiah LakeJackson Rasmussen

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 17-23 73.9 34 Daniel Freitag 24% (8 pts) Xavion Staton 24% (8 pts) Daniel Freitag 17% (1 misses) Dennis Evans 17% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 3-12 25.0 6 Jackson Rasmussen 33% (2 pts) Josiah Lake 33% (2 pts) Daniel Freitag 33% (3 misses) Chris Johnson 11% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 1-1 100.0 2 Jemai Lake 100% (2 pts) - - -
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Deshawn Gory 100% (2 pts) - Chris Johnson 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Deshawn Gory 100% (2 pts) - Deshawn Gory 100% (2 misses) -
Left corner 3 2-2 100.0 6 Daniel Freitag 50% (3 pts) Legend Smiley 50% (3 pts) - -
Right corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Daniel Freitag 33% (1 misses) Jackson Rasmussen 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 1-5 20.0 3 Chris Johnson 100% (3 pts) - Legend Smiley 50% (2 misses) Chris Johnson 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-3 66.7 6 Chris Johnson 50% (3 pts) Legend Smiley 50% (3 pts) Josiah Lake 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 right 4-11 36.4 12 Jemai Lake 50% (6 pts) Deshawn Gory 25% (3 pts) Chris Johnson 29% (2 misses) Deshawn Gory 14% (1 misses)