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Ole Miss

Also known as: Ole Miss Rebels, Ole Miss
Program History

2017 Team Stats (6 games)

77.0
PPG
76.2
Opp
+0.8
Margin
42.1%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
68.2%
FT%
42.0
RPG
11.3
APG
13.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
79.0
Adj PPG
71.6
Adj Opp PPG
#75
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1181 (#69) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1143 (#71) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1037 (#116) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +8.4 (#70) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +10.1 (#54) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.555 (#135) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.2 More โ†’ 0.803 (#70) AdjNet +12.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.4 More โ†’ 0.806 (#70) AdjNet +12.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.663 (#75) AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 71.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 72.4 More โ†’ 0.597 (#78) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.702 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.690 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1155 (#64) RD 99 | GP 35

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 86 - 83
2016-11-14 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 90 - 88
2016-11-18 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 95 - 88
2016-11-20 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 81 - 68
2016-11-21 @ Creighton Bluejays L 77 - 86
2016-11-24 vs Montana Grizzlies W 86 - 81
2016-11-30 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 62 - 77
2016-12-03 vs Memphis Tigers W 85 - 77
2016-12-11 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 75 - 80
2016-12-15 vs Murray State Racers W 78 - 73
2016-12-19 vs Bradley Braves W 66 - 49
2016-12-22 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 92 - 58
2016-12-29 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 76 - 99
2017-01-03 @ Florida Gators L 63 - 70
2017-01-07 @ Auburn Tigers W 88 - 85
2017-01-11 vs Georgia Bulldogs L 47 - 69
2017-01-14 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 56 - 67
2017-01-17 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 80 - 69
2017-01-21 @ Missouri Tigers W 75 - 71
2017-01-25 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 76 - 80
2017-01-28 vs Baylor Bears L 75 - 78
2017-01-31 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 88 - 61
2017-02-04 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 81 - 74
2017-02-08 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 66 - 75
2017-02-11 vs Auburn Tigers W 90 - 84
2017-02-14 vs LSU Tigers W 96 - 76
2017-02-18 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 80 - 98
2017-02-21 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 87 - 82
2017-02-25 vs Missouri Tigers W 80 - 77
2017-03-01 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 55 - 70
2017-03-04 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 75 - 70
2017-03-09 vs Missouri Tigers W 86 - 74
2017-03-10 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 72 - 73
2017-03-18 @ Syracuse Orange W 85 - 80
2017-03-21 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 66 - 74

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Deandre Burnett Deandre Burnett G 21 29.8 16.4 2.1 3.0 0.8 0.1 3.0 4.1 15.3 80 30 2.7 3.9 44.8 39.5 82.0 0.67 151.5 53.4
Sebastian Saiz Sebastian Saiz F 22 34.4 15.4 11.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 2.2 4.0 24.3 93 33 2.8 3.7 40.9 22.7 74.0 2.04 154.1 43.8
Terence Davis Terence Davis - 22 25.6 15.0 5.4 1.7 1.5 0.5 1.8 4.4 17.8 62 33 1.9 3.1 46.9 30.3 62.1 0.51 151.7 52.1
Cullen Neal Cullen Neal G 22 24.4 9.2 1.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.4 10.0 34 33 1.0 1.9 36.5 34.4 83.3 0.13 176.3 47.1
Breein Tyree Breein Tyree G 21 17.6 6.7 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 2.0 2.4 6.0 90 32 2.8 6.4 36.0 33.3 58.8 2.53 121.8 42.0
Rasheed Brooks Rasheed Brooks G 20 22.2 6.2 2.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 7.3 55 30 1.8 3.5 29.1 26.7 100.0 0.26 108.4 36.4
Justas Furmanavicius Justas Furmanavicius F 22 23.4 5.3 4.6 0.7 0.5 1.1 1.0 1.6 9.5 86 33 2.6 4.5 58.3 16.7 80.0 1.91 129.5 59.7
Marcanvis Hymon Marcanvis Hymon F 22 21.9 3.8 5.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.8 9.8 42 33 1.3 2.5 55.6 0 18.2 0.09 149.9 55.6
Donte Fitzpatrick-Dorsey Donte Fitzpatrick-Dorsey G 16 6.5 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.4 -24 19 -1.3 -8.2 33.3 0.0 0 -5.14 283.3 33.3
Karlis Silins Karlis Silins C 7 5.1 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 -2 7 -0.3 -2.5 33.3 0 0 -1.71 33.3 33.3
Nate Morris Nate Morris F 5 4.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 -8 6 -1.3 -10.8 0.0 0 0 -1.55 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG