Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (82-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Davis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 28 | - |
| Sebastian Saiz * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Breein Tyree * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Deandre Burnett * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Marcanvis Hymon * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Cullen Neal | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Justas Furmanavicius | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Donte Fitzpatrick-Dorsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 29 | - |
| I.J. Ready * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 30 | - |
| Mario Kegler * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Schnider Herard * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Xavian Stapleton | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Aric Holman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E.J. Datcher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter