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Northeastern

Also known as: Northeastern Huskies, Northeastern
Program History

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 958 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1002 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 999 (#171) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.9 (#177) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +0.8 (#160) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.429 (#197) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.1 More โ†’ 0.467 (#170) AdjNet -1.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More โ†’ 0.467 (#170) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 64.0 More โ†’ 0.481 (#176) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 64.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 63.9 More โ†’ 0.506 (#163) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.485 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.490 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 29 More โ†’ 975 (#185) RD 149 | GP 29

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Boston University Terriers W 82 - 74
2011-11-14 @ UMass Minutemen L 67 - 83
2011-11-19 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 64 - 57
2011-11-26 @ St. John's Red Storm W 78 - 64
2011-11-30 @ La Salle Explorers L 51 - 68
2011-12-03 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 59 - 69
2011-12-06 @ Bradley Braves L 68 - 79
2011-12-18 vs Princeton Tigers L 62 - 71
2011-12-20 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 53 - 56
2011-12-22 @ NC State Wolfpack L 59 - 88
2011-12-30 @ Vermont Catamounts W 53 - 51
2012-01-02 @ Towson Tigers W 57 - 48
2012-01-04 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 62 - 70
2012-01-07 @ James Madison Dukes W 68 - 56
2012-01-11 @ Hofstra Pride W 64 - 62
2012-01-14 vs William & Mary Tribe W 64 - 50
2012-01-18 vs Georgia State Panthers W 60 - 57
2012-01-23 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 57 - 69
2012-01-25 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 62 - 61
2012-01-28 vs Hofstra Pride W 58 - 51
2012-02-01 vs Drexel Dragons L 53 - 61
2012-02-04 @ VCU Rams L 56 - 59
2012-02-08 @ Georgia State Panthers L 59 - 61
2012-02-14 vs Towson Tigers W 70 - 51
2012-02-18 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 69 - 76
2012-02-22 vs George Mason Patriots W 85 - 82
2012-02-25 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 72 - 82
2012-03-02 vs William & Mary Tribe W 57 - 49
2012-03-03 @ VCU Rams L 65 - 75

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jonathan Lee Jonathan Lee G 29 35.4 15.0 3.9 3.6 1.6 0.1 3.1 4.6 16.5 -76 30 -2.5 -3.2 53.0 48.0 78.6 -0.32 144.5 62.1
Joel Smith Joel Smith G 29 34.9 13.5 4.7 2.6 0.8 0.2 2.5 5.0 14.4 -63 30 -2.1 -2.7 46.5 45.8 84.4 1.21 123.7 59.7
Quincy Ford Quincy Ford F 29 29.4 11.2 5.1 1.3 1.8 1.0 2.1 4.1 14.2 -13 30 -0.4 -0.6 44.1 36.0 70.6 2.76 122.6 51.7
Reggie Spencer Reggie Spencer F 29 25.3 6.8 5.0 1.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 1.9 10.7 -56 30 -1.9 -3.2 50.0 0 63.4 -1.53 136.7 50.0
Kashief Edwards Kashief Edwards F 29 16.6 5.5 2.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.4 5.4 -75 30 -2.5 -6.6 40.6 0 71.4 -2.37 102.2 40.6
Kauri Black Kauri Black F 29 21.4 4.6 3.3 1.3 1.4 0.7 1.8 1.5 8.0 -15 30 -0.5 -1.1 38.6 0 59.1 0.42 124.8 38.6
Alwayne Bigby Alwayne Bigby G-F 29 22.9 3.4 3.6 1.3 1.1 0.2 1.9 1.2 6.5 -93 30 -3.1 -6.0 42.9 40.0 50.0 -2.76 114.2 48.6
Ryan Pierson Ryan Pierson F 25 8.6 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.0 -26 26 -1.0 -4.9 29.0 11.1 73.3 -3.48 58.5 30.6
Demetrius Pollard Demetrius Pollard G 15 6.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 -7 18 -0.4 -3.0 20.0 0.0 50.0 -0.47 124.1 20.0
Marco Banegas-Flores Marco Banegas-Flores G 19 5.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.4 -22 21 -1.0 -7.3 11.1 0 100.0 -2.87 90.0 11.1
Alex Bates Alex Bates F 6 6.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.2 -6 7 -0.9 -7.6 50.0 0 50.0 -1.72 69.4 50.0
Chris Avenant Chris Avenant G 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.95 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG