Northeastern
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 958 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1002 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 999 (#171) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.9 (#177) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.8 (#160) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.429 (#197) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.467 (#170) | AdjNet -1.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.467 (#170) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.481 (#176) | AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.506 (#163) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.485 (#175) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.490 (#175) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 975 (#185) | RD 149 | GP 29 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jonathan Lee
|
G | 29 | 35.4 | 15.0 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 16.5 | -76 | 30 | -2.5 | -3.2 | 53.0 | 48.0 | 78.6 | -0.32 | 144.5 | 62.1 |
Joel Smith
|
G | 29 | 34.9 | 13.5 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 14.4 | -63 | 30 | -2.1 | -2.7 | 46.5 | 45.8 | 84.4 | 1.21 | 123.7 | 59.7 |
Quincy Ford
|
F | 29 | 29.4 | 11.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 14.2 | -13 | 30 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 44.1 | 36.0 | 70.6 | 2.76 | 122.6 | 51.7 |
Reggie Spencer
|
F | 29 | 25.3 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 10.7 | -56 | 30 | -1.9 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 63.4 | -1.53 | 136.7 | 50.0 |
Kashief Edwards
|
F | 29 | 16.6 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 5.4 | -75 | 30 | -2.5 | -6.6 | 40.6 | 0 | 71.4 | -2.37 | 102.2 | 40.6 |
Kauri Black
|
F | 29 | 21.4 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 8.0 | -15 | 30 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 38.6 | 0 | 59.1 | 0.42 | 124.8 | 38.6 |
Alwayne Bigby
|
G-F | 29 | 22.9 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6.5 | -93 | 30 | -3.1 | -6.0 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -2.76 | 114.2 | 48.6 |
Ryan Pierson
|
F | 25 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | -26 | 26 | -1.0 | -4.9 | 29.0 | 11.1 | 73.3 | -3.48 | 58.5 | 30.6 |
Demetrius Pollard
|
G | 15 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.1 | -7 | 18 | -0.4 | -3.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.47 | 124.1 | 20.0 |
Marco Banegas-Flores
|
G | 19 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -22 | 21 | -1.0 | -7.3 | 11.1 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.87 | 90.0 | 11.1 |
Alex Bates
|
F | 6 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | -6 | 7 | -0.9 | -7.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.72 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
Chris Avenant
|
G | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.95 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG