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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Northeastern Huskies Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% +10.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 18.0% 82.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“

Actual: Northeastern Huskies +14 (64-50). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinn McDowell * 34 3-10 2-4 5-6 3 2 2 0 3 13 7 -
Marcus Thornton * 30 2-3 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
Tim Rusthoven * 26 4-9 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 3 3 9 3 -
Brandon Britt * 26 3-8 2-4 2-4 3 0 1 0 0 10 6 -
Matt Rum * 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Julian Boatner 25 2-9 1-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 7 1 -
Kendrix Brown 23 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 5 7 -
Fred Heldring 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 4 -
Tom Schalk 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Northeastern Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Lee * 36 3-6 1-3 5-6 4 4 2 1 3 12 14 -
Joel Smith * 35 4-9 2-4 4-6 5 4 1 0 4 14 11 -
Reggie Spencer * 27 1-4 0-0 5-7 8 0 1 1 0 7 13 -
Alwayne Bigby * 21 2-7 1-2 3-3 4 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Ryan Pierson * 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Quincy Ford 35 5-10 1-4 2-2 10 1 0 2 1 13 15 -
Kauri Black 24 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
Kashief Edwards 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 6 5 -
Demetrius Pollard 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter