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North Carolina Tar Heels

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2020 Team Stats (6 games)

68.2
PPG
71.5
Opp
-3.3
Margin
40.9%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
74.0%
FT%
30.5
RPG
12.7
APG
10.8
TO
77.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1329 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1337 (#40) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → +44.6 (#22) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.961 (#24) -

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-28 vs Temple Owls W 71 - 58
2020-01-09 vs NC State Wolfpack W 66 - 60
2020-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles L 64 - 78
2020-01-19 vs Louisville Cardinals L 67 - 74
2020-01-26 @ NC State Wolfpack L 68 - 76
2020-03-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 73 - 83

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Koenen T. Koenen G 6 37.2 17.2 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.8 1.8 13.2 13.0 - - - 48.1 37.8 72.2 1.45 59.2 57.0
S. Bennett S. Bennett G 6 35.3 15.5 2.2 4.5 1.2 0.5 2.5 12.5 8.8 - - - 41.3 37.0 80.8 0.75 53.8 48.0
M. Muhammad M. Muhammad G 6 32.3 12.8 4.8 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 12.2 6.5 - - - 35.6 37.8 64.7 0.82 47.8 45.2
J. Bailey J. Bailey C 6 33.5 11.0 7.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 2.2 11.3 8.3 - - - 35.3 50.0 80.0 1.33 43.0 36.8
M. Tshitenge M. Tshitenge F 6 28.8 6.7 5.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.2 5.8 7.2 - - - 51.4 0 57.1 1.08 52.5 51.4
L. Church L. Church G 6 13.8 3.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.8 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.77 78.8 75.0
N. Daniel N. Daniel G 5 5.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 60 3.2 13.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.18 51.5 33.3
K. Tucker K. Tucker G 6 13.7 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.0 1.8 -0.2 -8 -0.3 -1.2 18.2 0.0 33.3 1.05 20.3 18.2
E. Sullivan E. Sullivan F 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.39 0 0
L. Roberts L. Roberts G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.43 0 0
L. Duckett L. Duckett G 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.03 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG