Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Evans | 40 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 36 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| B. Dunham | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Balogun | 23 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Robinson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Dixon | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Y. Diop | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Shook | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Koenen | 40 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Bailey | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Muhammad | 34 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| S. Bennett | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Church | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Tucker | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter