Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bennett | 40 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| T. Koenen | 39 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Bailey | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Muhammad | 26 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Church | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Tucker | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Daniel | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Konig | 37 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Brown-Turner | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 32 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| E. Cunane | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 14-16 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 25 | - |
| K. Jones | 28 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Ealey | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Boyd | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Cassell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter