๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Nicholls

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2009 Team Stats (25 games)

62.0
PPG
60.6
Opp
+1.5
Margin
45.9%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
68.7%
FT%
28.0
RPG
14.1
APG
14.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.0
Adj PPG
60.7
Adj Opp PPG
#177
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1037 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1032 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 1068 (#79) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -1.0 (#179) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -0.3 (#174) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.588 (#127) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.7 More โ†’ 0.423 (#195) AdjNet -2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.8 More โ†’ 0.421 (#195) AdjNet -2.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 60.7 More โ†’ 0.483 (#177) AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 59.9 More โ†’ 0.518 (#151) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 59.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.522 (#153) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.529 (#154) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 28 More โ†’ 1047 (#130) RD 129 | GP 28

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-19 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 79 - 62
2008-11-22 @ Tulane Green Wave L 70 - 72
2008-11-28 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 65 - 75
2008-11-29 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 38 - 57
2008-11-30 @ Winston-Salem State Rams W 67 - 61
2008-12-06 vs Southern Jaguars W 75 - 56
2008-12-10 vs Huston Tillotson Rams W 96 - 53
2008-12-13 @ Southern Jaguars W 64 - 58
2008-12-15 vs Dillard Blue Devils W 87 - 45
2008-12-17 @ LSU Tigers L 56 - 68
2008-12-22 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 68 - 74
2009-01-03 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 41 - 53
2009-01-05 vs Southern New Orleans Knights W 80 - 56
2009-01-10 @ Northwestern State Demons W 69 - 60
2009-01-14 vs UTSA Roadrunners L 55 - 62
2009-01-17 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 40 - 55
2009-01-21 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 63 - 42
2009-01-24 vs Northwestern State Demons W 85 - 69
2009-01-28 @ McNeese Cowboys W 56 - 45
2009-01-31 @ SE Louisiana Lions W 68 - 65
2009-02-04 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 57 - 50
2009-02-07 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 68 - 69
2009-02-11 @ Sam Houston Bearkats W 60 - 59
2009-02-14 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 52 - 50
2009-02-21 @ Texas State Bobcats L 66 - 71
2009-02-25 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 60 - 58
2009-02-28 vs McNeese Cowboys W 80 - 76
2009-03-04 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 79 - 77
2009-03-07 @ Lamar Cardinals W 50 - 36
2009-03-12 vs Texas State Bobcats W 80 - 75
2009-03-13 vs UTSA Roadrunners L 55 - 57

2009 Roster

No roster data available for this season.