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Nicholls

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2020 Team Stats (16 games)

61.6
PPG
65.6
Opp
-4.1
Margin
39.9%
FG%
26.5%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
34.4
RPG
11.5
APG
18.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.4
Adj PPG
70.2
Adj Opp PPG
#284
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 953 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 889 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +71 elo More โ†’ 1030 (#146) HCA +71 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -11.9 (#286) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ -9.7 (#274) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.259 (#264) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.5 More โ†’ 0.106 (#290) AdjNet -18.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.0 More โ†’ 0.099 (#291) AdjNet -19.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 70.2 More โ†’ 0.273 (#284) AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.397 (#244) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.293 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.317 (#259) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 27 More โ†’ 914 (#231) RD 98 | GP 27

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 @ Rice Owls L 47 - 71
2019-11-10 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 47 - 111
2019-11-14 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 47 - 72
2019-11-18 vs Paul Quinn Tigers W 101 - 68
2019-11-25 vs Southern New Orleans Knights W 94 - 61
2019-11-29 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 55 - 72
2019-11-30 @ North Florida Ospreys L 61 - 64
2019-12-03 @ LSU Tigers L 32 - 63
2019-12-10 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 74 - 59
2019-12-18 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 49 - 55
2019-12-21 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats L 84 - 95
2020-01-02 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals L 51 - 53
2020-01-04 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 71 - 87
2020-01-08 vs Lamar Cardinals L 78 - 84
2020-01-11 @ SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 67 - 65
2020-01-15 @ Northwestern State Lady Demons L 54 - 58
2020-01-18 vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears L 46 - 53
2020-01-22 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 84 - 78
2020-01-25 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers L 65 - 77
2020-01-29 vs McNeese Cowgirls W 79 - 63
2020-02-05 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks L 61 - 78
2020-02-08 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 77 - 80
2020-02-12 @ Lamar Cardinals W 62 - 60
2020-02-15 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 54 - 49
2020-02-19 vs Northwestern State Lady Demons W 73 - 66
2020-02-22 @ Central Arkansas Sugar Bears W 67 - 58
2020-02-26 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 57 - 53
2020-02-29 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 70 - 68
2020-03-04 @ McNeese Cowgirls W 72 - 53
2020-03-12 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals - Preview

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Ezechukwu C. Ezechukwu F 15 27.0 14.2 6.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 2.1 11.6 10.6 -45 25 -1.8 -2.7 43.7 50.0 72.3 1.26 50.6 44.0
L. Johnson L. Johnson G 16 28.3 12.8 4.2 1.1 1.6 0.4 2.2 8.7 9.1 -34 26 -1.3 -2.0 51.8 30.8 74.0 -0.08 59.3 53.2
A. Hamilton A. Hamilton G 16 39.5 10.8 6.2 2.6 1.8 0.3 3.4 8.2 9.9 -125 26 -4.8 -5.1 47.0 25.0 75.4 -0.63 54.7 48.9
T. Williams T. Williams G 16 36.2 9.8 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.1 4.3 9.6 4.7 -93 26 -3.6 -4.1 31.2 22.7 82.7 -0.78 44.1 36.7
A. Mann A. Mann G 3 24.0 7.3 2.3 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.7 -62 6 -10.3 -21.9 33.3 40.0 66.7 -2.19 50.1 44.4
D. Collins D. Collins G 2 15.0 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.0 0.5 - - - - 30.0 50.0 100.0 -2.64 50.6 45.0
C. Cain C. Cain F 16 15.6 4.6 4.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.8 4.8 3.4 -57 26 -2.2 -6.0 32.9 0 76.7 -2.2 40.9 32.9
L. Bowie L. Bowie F 15 21.3 4.3 3.4 0.5 1.0 0.3 1.7 3.9 4.0 -71 25 -2.8 -5.5 39.0 0.0 67.9 -2.58 45.6 39.0
T. McKay T. McKay G 14 19.5 2.8 1.2 0.6 1.4 0.1 1.9 4.0 0.1 -165 23 -7.2 -14.0 23.2 28.0 54.5 -5.11 32.1 29.5
K. Fountain K. Fountain G 16 11.7 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.8 -31 26 -1.2 -4.9 33.3 33.3 75.0 -4.17 43.3 38.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG