🐻⬇️🏀

@
2020-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Incarnate Wo... Nicholls Colonels Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
22.0% (#235) 78.0% (#198) Nicholl... -5.9 62-68
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
40.5% (#262) 59.5% (#251) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
31.0% (#304) 69.0% (#286) Nicholl... -4.4 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
44.0% (#277) 56.0% (#264) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
33.0% (#307) 67.0% (#290) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
33.4% (#307) 66.6% (#291) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
39.2% (#302) 60.8% (#284) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.7-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 130 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Incarnate Wo... Nicholls Colonels
Games 2 16
PPG 62.5 61.6
FG% 36.9% 39.9%
3PT% 32.4% 26.5%
FT% 69.7% 74.2%
RPG 37.5 34.4
APG 10.0 11.5
SPG 8.5 10.9
BPG 6.5 2.2
TOPG 13.5 18.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Incarnate Wo... Nicholls Colonels
Adj. Off Eff 88.8 90.7
Adj. Def Eff 111.2 109.3
Adj. Net Eff -22.4 -18.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Incarnate Word Cardinals Top Players

No player data available

Nicholls Colonels Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Airi Hamilton 10.8 6.2 2.6 1.8 0.3 39.5
Tykeria Williams 9.8 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.1 36.3
Loan-Anh Johnson 12.8 4.3 1.1 1.6 0.4 28.3
Chrystal Ezechukwu 14.2 6.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 27.0
Adrian Mann 7.3 2.3 2.0 2.0 0.0 24.0