Incarnate Word
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
60.7
PPG
68.0
Opp
-7.3
Margin
40.9%
FG%
27.4%
3P%
64.6%
FT%
28.0
RPG
6.7
APG
17.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.3
Adj PPG
64.1
Adj Opp PPG
#238
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 859 (#250) | Preseason prior 828 (returning production + recruiting): last season 957, returning -62, transfers -67, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 897 (#253) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 898 (#253) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#242) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.1 (#242) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.200 (#245) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.272 (#275) | AdjNet -10.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.278 (#268) | AdjNet -9.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.368 (#238) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.368 (#240) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.322 (#250) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.322 (#250) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 867 (#269) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.266 (#263) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | UTEP Miners | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | UTSA Roadrunners | L | 51 - 73 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | North Texas Mean Green | L | 46 - 75 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Texas State Bobcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Texas A&M Aggies | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kayanna Cox
|
G | 3 | 22.3 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 12.3 | 11.0 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -8.3 | 48.6 | 40.0 | 57.9 | 0.21 | 56.2 | 54.1 |
Morgan Borgstadt
|
F | 3 | 27.7 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 7.3 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -5.3 | 29.4 | 10.0 | 81.0 | 0.21 | 53.4 | 32.4 |
Gwendlyn McGrew
|
G | 3 | 34.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 3.3 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -8.6 | 32.1 | 31.8 | 100.0 | -0.85 | 46.7 | 44.6 |
A'Maya Holton
|
F | 3 | 32.0 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 8.0 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -5.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 53.8 | -0.68 | 60.6 | 60.0 |
Zaviyana Madison
|
G | 3 | 25.3 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 6.0 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -11.5 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -1.18 | 60.3 | 53.8 |
Destiny Whitaker
|
G | 2 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 37.5 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -1.96 | 61.9 | 56.2 |
N'Kiyah Burge
|
F | 3 | 21.3 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -7.1 | 33.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | -0.38 | 35.6 | 36.7 |
Mariah Hart
|
G | 3 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 56.3 | 62.5 |
Madison Williams
|
G | 3 | 16.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Lucia Lara
|
F | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -31.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
M. Monton
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.85 | 0 | 0 |
Londyn Oliphant
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Endia Stigall
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -17.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Nevaeh Jones
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sedelia Wilson-Larkin
|
F | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
137 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kayanna CoxGwendlyn McGrewZaviyana MadisonA'Maya HoltonN'Kiyah BurgeDestiny Whitaker
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 10-16 | 62.5 | 20 | A'Maya Holton 30% (6 pts) | Kayanna Cox 30% (6 pts) | Kayanna Cox 50% (3 misses) | Lucia Lara 17% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 15-31 | 48.4 | 30 | Kayanna Cox 40% (12 pts) | A'Maya Holton 13% (4 pts) | Kayanna Cox 31% (5 misses) | A'Maya Holton 12% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-9 | 44.4 | 8 | Kayanna Cox 50% (4 pts) | Gwendlyn McGrew 25% (2 pts) | Kayanna Cox 40% (2 misses) | A'Maya Holton 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 5-8 | 62.5 | 10 | Kayanna Cox 40% (4 pts) | Zaviyana Madison 40% (4 pts) | Zaviyana Madison 67% (2 misses) | N'Kiyah Burge 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-11 | 45.5 | 10 | A'Maya Holton 20% (2 pts) | Gwendlyn McGrew 20% (2 pts) | Kayanna Cox 50% (3 misses) | Gwendlyn McGrew 33% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Destiny Whitaker 33% (1 misses) | Gwendlyn McGrew 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Destiny Whitaker 100% (3 pts) | - | Gwendlyn McGrew 67% (2 misses) | Kayanna Cox 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-23 | 34.8 | 24 | Gwendlyn McGrew 62% (15 pts) | Kayanna Cox 25% (6 pts) | Gwendlyn McGrew 33% (5 misses) | Morgan Borgstadt 27% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-15 | 26.7 | 12 | Gwendlyn McGrew 25% (3 pts) | Mariah Hart 25% (3 pts) | N'Kiyah Burge 36% (4 misses) | Morgan Borgstadt 27% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-17 | 23.5 | 12 | Kayanna Cox 50% (6 pts) | Destiny Whitaker 25% (3 pts) | Gwendlyn McGrew 38% (5 misses) | Kayanna Cox 31% (4 misses) |