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Nicholls Colonels

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History
Coach: Richie Riley

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

71.0
PPG
71.0
Opp
+0.0
Margin
37.6%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
78.0%
FT%
34.0
RPG
13.0
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.4
Adj PPG
76.4
Adj Opp PPG
#184
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1003 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1051 (#136) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1082 (#62) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -1.6 (#187) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -1.9 (#191) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.585 (#119) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.8 More → 0.420 (#193) AdjNet -2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.9 More → 0.418 (#193) AdjNet -2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 76.4 More → 0.477 (#184) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 76.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.524 (#143) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.519 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.528 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 28 More → 1029 (#149) RD 132 | GP 28

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 111 - 106
2017-11-14 @ Villanova Wildcats L 77 - 113
2017-11-17 vs Spring Hill Badgers W 127 - 83
2017-11-19 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 86 - 100
2017-11-23 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 76 - 64
2017-11-24 @ UMBC Retrievers L 88 - 89
2017-11-27 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 104 - 68
2017-12-01 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 80 - 105
2017-12-03 vs Idaho Vandals L 68 - 79
2017-12-16 vs Culver Stockton Wildcats W 92 - 51
2017-12-18 @ Tulane Green Wave L 69 - 76
2017-12-20 vs Mobile Rams W 96 - 52
2017-12-23 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 89 - 95
2017-12-28 vs Northwestern State Demons W 87 - 46
2017-12-30 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 77 - 60
2018-01-03 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 64 - 81
2018-01-06 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 72 - 71
2018-01-10 vs McNeese Cowboys W 85 - 80
2018-01-13 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 86 - 79
2018-01-16 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 91 - 61
2018-01-24 @ Lamar Cardinals W 79 - 74
2018-01-27 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 63 - 67
2018-02-03 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers W 81 - 64
2018-02-07 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats W 69 - 65
2018-02-10 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 94 - 67
2018-02-14 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 73 - 72
2018-02-17 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 87 - 83
2018-02-21 @ McNeese Cowboys W 96 - 79
2018-02-24 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 78 - 64
2018-02-28 @ Northwestern State Demons W 73 - 70
2018-03-03 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 57 - 69
2018-03-09 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 66 - 78

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Roddy Peters Roddy Peters G 27 26.9 18.9 6.2 3.9 1.3 0.2 3.8 4.9 21.7 61 26 2.3 3.6 47.4 27.8 83.0 -0.15 165.6 49.2
Tevon Saddler Tevon Saddler G 25 29.5 16.0 6.8 2.9 1.5 0.3 3.3 3.8 20.5 139 24 5.8 8.3 45.7 18.8 77.8 4.08 176.2 47.3
Zaquavian Smith Zaquavian Smith G 4 25.5 10.5 4.2 0.5 0.8 0.0 1.2 7.2 7.5 -60 5 -12.0 -24.2 37.9 40.0 100.0 -4.14 67.3 51.7
M. Nelson M. Nelson - 1 21.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 - - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 58.7 60.0
Jahvaughn Powell Jahvaughn Powell G 27 28.0 9.6 2.6 2.8 2.3 0.0 2.0 2.3 13.0 26 26 1.0 1.5 36.1 34.9 85.7 -1.94 202.9 48.4
Lafayette Rutledge Lafayette Rutledge G 27 21.1 9.6 1.4 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.4 2.7 9.0 -23 26 -0.9 -1.8 37.0 38.0 69.2 -3.04 164.5 55.5
Kimani Jackson Kimani Jackson F 27 21.2 8.4 5.9 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.7 0.9 13.6 79 26 3.0 6.1 56.5 0.0 66.7 -0.23 336.7 56.5
Kevin Johnson Kevin Johnson - 27 30.4 6.9 2.7 2.6 2.1 0.0 1.1 1.1 12.1 - - - - 44.8 26.7 100.0 - 317.6 51.7
Ryghe Lyons Ryghe Lyons C 23 18.9 4.9 3.9 1.5 0.8 1.8 1.8 0.7 10.4 115 23 5.0 11.8 40.0 33.3 100.0 1.5 334.1 43.3
Maurice O'Field Maurice O'Field G 3 8.3 4.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 6.3 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -1.96 600.0 150.0
Stevie Repichowski Stevie Repichowski G 18 9.2 3.4 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 3.7 23 19 1.2 7.7 44.4 42.9 0 -0.96 338.9 61.1
Daniel Regis Daniel Regis C 14 11.6 2.8 2.7 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 4.6 -57 17 -3.4 -13.1 37.5 0 53.3 -5.63 133.6 37.5
Legend Robertin Legend Robertin C 27 9.7 2.5 2.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.8 0.6 4.6 -35 26 -1.3 -6.5 53.3 0 75.0 -4.56 183.6 53.3
Zach Young Zach Young G 12 3.8 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.1 1.4 8 10 0.8 16.6 0.0 0 75.0 0.37 144.9 0.0
Rafe Blades Rafe Blades G 8 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 4 7 0.6 13.2 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG