Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +1 (89-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Johnson * | 39 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tevon Saddler * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Roddy Peters * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jahvaughn Powell * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Legend Robertin * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lafayette Rutledge | 33 | 10-19 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Stevie Repichowski | 14 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Regis | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kimani Jackson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairus Lyles * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Max Curran * | 20 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K.J. Maura | 32 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Joe Sherburne | 30 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Max Portmann | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Akin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter