Nicholls Colonels
2015 Team Stats (4 games)
63.0
PPG
91.5
Opp
-28.5
Margin
42.7%
FG%
41.3%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
28.8
RPG
11.8
APG
17.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.6
Adj PPG
70.9
Adj Opp PPG
#332
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2014-2015
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 798 (#294) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 775 (#321) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 921 (#281) | HCA +90 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -14.2 (#332) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -12.9 (#330) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.145 (#331) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.085 (#326) | AdjNet -20.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.083 (#326) | AdjNet -20.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.231 (#332) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.328 (#325) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.202 (#324) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.218 (#322) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 773 (#315) | RD 138 | GP 26 |
2015 Schedule & Results
2015 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T.J. Carpenter
|
G | 24 | 28.2 | 11.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 13.2 | -132 | 22 | -6.0 | -10.0 | 30.4 | 17.2 | 78.3 | -2.37 | 170.6 | 34.1 |
Ja'Dante' Frye
|
F | 25 | 28.1 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 12.9 | -64 | 24 | -2.7 | -4.5 | 45.7 | 50.0 | 64.7 | 1.95 | 259.0 | 46.7 |
Amin Torres
|
G | 22 | 17.5 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -91 | 20 | -4.5 | -10.6 | 53.5 | 50.0 | 85.7 | -1.24 | 222.4 | 65.1 |
Sam McBeath
|
F | 25 | 25.0 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 15.4 | -53 | 24 | -2.2 | -4.0 | 51.4 | 66.7 | 69.2 | 0.54 | 268.0 | 59.5 |
Liam Thomas
|
C | 25 | 21.8 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 11.8 | -82 | 24 | -3.4 | -7.8 | 61.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -1.88 | 223.8 | 64.7 |
Luka Kamber
|
F | 25 | 18.2 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7.0 | -156 | 24 | -6.5 | -15.7 | 48.5 | 53.8 | 50.0 | -4.22 | 196.5 | 69.7 |
Richie Lewis
|
G | 22 | 25.9 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 7.0 | -154 | 21 | -7.3 | -13.6 | 36.6 | 0.0 | 78.6 | -2.04 | 119.8 | 36.6 |
Quinton Thomas
|
G | 15 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 5.7 | -69 | 15 | -4.6 | -19.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 85.7 | -4.45 | 181.5 | 57.1 |
Travis Julien
|
F | 23 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.4 | -87 | 23 | -3.8 | -12.2 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -3.3 | 227.3 | 45.5 |
JaMarkus Horace
|
F | 25 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 4.0 | -118 | 24 | -4.9 | -18.8 | 31.2 | 0 | 25.0 | -4.22 | 177.4 | 31.2 |
Marquis Nelson
|
G | 18 | 10.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | -38 | 16 | -2.4 | -9.5 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -2.87 | 231.2 | 37.5 |
Denzel Flemings
|
F | 4 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.56 | 62.5 | 50.0 |
Zach Young
|
G | 14 | 9.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | -9 | 14 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.91 | 38.7 | 0.0 |
S. Rillieux
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG