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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2015 Team Stats (4 games)

63.0
PPG
91.5
Opp
-28.5
Margin
42.7%
FG%
41.3%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
28.8
RPG
11.8
APG
17.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.6
Adj PPG
70.9
Adj Opp PPG
#332
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 798 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 775 (#321) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 921 (#281) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -14.2 (#332) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -12.9 (#330) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.145 (#331) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.6 More โ†’ 0.085 (#326) AdjNet -20.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.8 More โ†’ 0.083 (#326) AdjNet -20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 70.9 More โ†’ 0.231 (#332) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 70.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.328 (#325) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.202 (#324) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.218 (#322) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 26 More โ†’ 773 (#315) RD 138 | GP 26

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-17 @ North Texas Mean Green L 57 - 71
2014-11-20 @ UCLA Bruins L 74 - 107
2014-11-24 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 48 - 75
2014-11-29 @ Michigan Wolverines L 62 - 91
2014-12-06 vs Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack W 89 - 60
2014-12-13 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 43 - 86
2014-12-16 vs Arkansas Monticello Boll Weevils W 81 - 75
2014-12-18 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 54 - 79
2014-12-21 vs Troy Trojans L 64 - 65
2014-12-30 vs Spring Hill Badgers W 71 - 64
2015-01-03 @ Lamar Cardinals L 62 - 75
2015-01-10 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 54 - 71
2015-01-13 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 61 - 57
2015-01-17 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 66 - 69
2015-01-20 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 39 - 62
2015-01-24 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 71 - 61
2015-01-26 @ Northwestern State Demons L 51 - 80
2015-01-31 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals L 58 - 69
2015-02-02 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 67 - 55
2015-02-07 vs McNeese Cowboys W 70 - 59
2015-02-10 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals L 64 - 73
2015-02-14 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 59 - 65
2015-02-21 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 71 - 86
2015-02-23 vs Northwestern State Demons L 57 - 79
2015-02-28 @ McNeese Cowboys L 78 - 83
2015-03-02 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers W 89 - 79
2015-03-05 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 77 - 70
2015-03-07 @ SE Louisiana Lions W 75 - 69
2015-03-11 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers L 73 - 82

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T.J. Carpenter T.J. Carpenter G 24 28.2 11.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.1 2.5 2.9 13.2 -132 22 -6.0 -10.0 30.4 17.2 78.3 -2.37 170.6 34.1
Ja'Dante' Frye Ja'Dante' Frye F 25 28.1 11.1 3.3 0.9 1.0 0.2 1.8 1.8 12.9 -64 24 -2.7 -4.5 45.7 50.0 64.7 1.95 259.0 46.7
Amin Torres Amin Torres G 22 17.5 9.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.1 2.0 2.0 9.0 -91 20 -4.5 -10.6 53.5 50.0 85.7 -1.24 222.4 65.1
Sam McBeath Sam McBeath F 25 25.0 9.2 7.0 1.7 0.9 0.5 2.4 1.5 15.4 -53 24 -2.2 -4.0 51.4 66.7 69.2 0.54 268.0 59.5
Liam Thomas Liam Thomas C 25 21.8 6.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 1.7 1.2 1.4 11.8 -82 24 -3.4 -7.8 61.8 50.0 0.0 -1.88 223.8 64.7
Luka Kamber Luka Kamber F 25 18.2 5.9 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.2 1.3 7.0 -156 24 -6.5 -15.7 48.5 53.8 50.0 -4.22 196.5 69.7
Richie Lewis Richie Lewis G 22 25.9 5.1 2.3 2.6 1.8 0.1 3.1 1.9 7.0 -154 21 -7.3 -13.6 36.6 0.0 78.6 -2.04 119.8 36.6
Quinton Thomas Quinton Thomas G 15 11.2 4.1 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.9 5.7 -69 15 -4.6 -19.1 50.0 33.3 85.7 -4.45 181.5 57.1
Travis Julien Travis Julien F 23 12.7 2.7 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.5 5.4 -87 23 -3.8 -12.2 45.5 0.0 83.3 -3.3 227.3 45.5
JaMarkus Horace JaMarkus Horace F 25 11.1 2.5 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.6 4.0 -118 24 -4.9 -18.8 31.2 0 25.0 -4.22 177.4 31.2
Marquis Nelson Marquis Nelson G 18 10.3 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.4 2.4 -38 16 -2.4 -9.5 25.0 40.0 0 -2.87 231.2 37.5
Denzel Flemings Denzel Flemings F 4 8.0 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.2 - - - - 50.0 0 0 -2.56 62.5 50.0
Zach Young Zach Young G 14 9.4 0.2 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2 1.4 -9 14 -0.6 -2.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.91 38.7 0.0
S. Rillieux S. Rillieux G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG