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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2006 Team Stats (3 games)

54.7
PPG
85.3
Opp
-30.7
Margin
38.3%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
58.1%
FT%
28.0
RPG
11.7
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.9
Adj PPG
77.8
Adj Opp PPG
#316
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 745 (#302) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 826 (#290) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 898 (#292) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -13.7 (#316) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -11.9 (#308) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.152 (#312) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.3 More โ†’ 0.097 (#314) AdjNet -19.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.5 More โ†’ 0.095 (#314) AdjNet -19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 77.8 More โ†’ 0.236 (#316) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 77.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 75.2 More โ†’ 0.317 (#308) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 75.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.203 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.217 (#306) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 26 More โ†’ 801 (#294) RD 154 | GP 26

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 65 - 99
2005-11-21 @ LSU Tigers L 57 - 104
2005-11-23 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 56 - 93
2005-11-25 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 71 - 69
2005-11-27 @ Maryland Terrapins L 56 - 88
2005-12-10 vs North Texas Mean Green L 82 - 98
2005-12-15 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 43 - 69
2005-12-17 vs Kentucky Christian Knights W 102 - 70
2005-12-19 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 71 - 73
2005-12-22 vs Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen W 89 - 80
2005-12-29 vs Jackson State Tigers W 93 - 87
2006-01-05 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 77 - 71
2006-01-07 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 80 - 73
2006-01-11 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 59 - 78
2006-01-14 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 73 - 66
2006-01-19 @ McNeese Cowboys L 59 - 64
2006-01-21 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 54 - 82
2006-01-26 vs Lamar Cardinals L 81 - 89
2006-01-28 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 76 - 84
2006-02-02 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 50 - 67
2006-02-04 @ Texas State Bobcats W 69 - 66
2006-02-11 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 69 - 83
2006-02-16 vs Northwestern State Demons L 70 - 79
2006-02-18 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 59 - 74
2006-02-23 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 63 - 78
2006-03-01 @ Lamar Cardinals L 87 - 103
2006-03-03 vs Texas State Bobcats W 86 - 67

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.