Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Czepil | 40 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Djoukeng | 36 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Bathie | 28 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Gray | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Paige | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Blaszczynski | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Goffney | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| G. Verner | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Payne | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Dixon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dotson | 35 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 11 | - |
| A. Blanchard | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Cook | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Rockett | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Bush | 26 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Rogers | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Moseley | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter