New Mexico State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1160 (#73) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1147 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1081 (#70) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.2 (#82) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +6.3 (#83) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.673 (#77) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.753 (#83) | AdjNet +9.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.756 (#83) | AdjNet +9.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.625 (#84) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.611 (#68) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.683 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.681 (#68) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1131 (#80) | RD 115 | GP 31 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-16 | vs | Hofstra | W | 69 - 55 |
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Arizona | L | 60 - 84 |
| 1999-11-30 | vs | San Diego State | W | 66 - 49 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | UTEP | W | 68 - 43 |
| 1999-12-08 | vs | New Mexico | W | 66 - 57 |
| 1999-12-17 | vs | Texas Tech | W | 84 - 75 |
| 1999-12-21 | @ | Colorado | L | 53 - 76 |
| 1999-12-23 | @ | New Mexico | W | 63 - 60 |
| 1999-12-30 | vs | Washington | W | 79 - 75 |
| 2000-01-02 | @ | Southern Methodist | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2000-01-06 | @ | UTEP | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2000-01-13 | vs | Cal Poly | W | 91 - 77 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | Long Beach State | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Pacific | W | 48 - 47 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | North Texas | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | UC Irvine | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Nevada | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Utah State | L | 51 - 66 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Idaho | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2000-02-13 | vs | Boise State | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2000-02-17 | @ | Idaho | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Boise State | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Utah State | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Nevada | W | 73 - 43 |
| 2000-03-01 | vs | North Texas | W | 97 - 79 |
| 2000-03-04 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2000-03-09 | N | UC Irvine | W | 70 - 51 |
| 2000-03-10 | N | Long Beach State | W | 89 - 84 |
| 2000-03-11 | N | Utah State | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2000-03-15 | @ | Arizona State | L | 77 - 83 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.