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New Mexico State

Also known as: New Mexico State Aggies, New Mexico State
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1160 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1147 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 1081 (#70) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +6.2 (#82) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +6.3 (#83) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.673 (#77) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.7 More โ†’ 0.753 (#83) AdjNet +9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.8 More โ†’ 0.756 (#83) AdjNet +9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.625 (#84) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 64.8 More โ†’ 0.611 (#68) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 64.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.683 (#72) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.681 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1131 (#80) RD 115 | GP 31

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-16 vs Hofstra W 69 - 55
1999-11-19 @ Arizona L 60 - 84
1999-11-30 vs San Diego State W 66 - 49
1999-12-04 vs UTEP W 68 - 43
1999-12-08 vs New Mexico W 66 - 57
1999-12-17 vs Texas Tech W 84 - 75
1999-12-21 @ Colorado L 53 - 76
1999-12-23 @ New Mexico W 63 - 60
1999-12-30 vs Washington W 79 - 75
2000-01-02 @ Southern Methodist L 59 - 68
2000-01-06 @ UTEP W 74 - 73
2000-01-13 vs Cal Poly W 91 - 77
2000-01-15 vs UC Santa Barbara W 76 - 61
2000-01-20 @ Long Beach State L 66 - 78
2000-01-22 @ Pacific W 48 - 47
2000-01-26 @ North Texas L 73 - 75
2000-01-29 vs UC Irvine W 66 - 59
2000-02-03 @ Nevada W 72 - 66
2000-02-05 @ Utah State L 51 - 66
2000-02-10 vs Idaho W 74 - 62
2000-02-13 vs Boise State L 65 - 66
2000-02-17 @ Idaho W 57 - 52
2000-02-19 @ Boise State W 70 - 66
2000-02-24 vs Utah State L 66 - 70
2000-02-26 vs Nevada W 73 - 43
2000-03-01 vs North Texas W 97 - 79
2000-03-04 @ Cal State Fullerton W 80 - 65
2000-03-09 N UC Irvine W 70 - 51
2000-03-10 N Long Beach State W 89 - 84
2000-03-11 N Utah State L 66 - 71
2000-03-15 @ Arizona State L 77 - 83

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.