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New Mexico State

Also known as: New Mexico State Aggies, New Mexico State
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

66.3
PPG
78.3
Opp
-12.0
Margin
41.6%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
78.1%
FT%
33.3
RPG
10.3
APG
15.7
TO
64.7
Est. poss./game
66.2
Adj PPG
73.9
Adj Opp PPG
#202
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1041 (returning production + recruiting): last season 965, returning -25, transfers +65, freshmen +37 More โ†’ 1014 (#130) Preseason prior 1041 (returning production + recruiting): last season 965, returning -25, transfers +65, freshmen +37
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 1022 (#132) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 1004 (#143) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -4.6 (#206) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -4.7 (#208) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.275 (#248) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.0 More โ†’ 0.391 (#228) AdjNet -16.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.0 More โ†’ 0.406 (#209) AdjNet -14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 73.9 More โ†’ 0.444 (#202) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 73.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 73.8 More โ†’ 0.434 (#222) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 73.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.423 (#201) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.421 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 194 | GP 2 More โ†’ 999 (#149) RD 194 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.525 (#137) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 vs Western New Mexico Mustangs W 73 - 66
2026-11-07 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 68 - 109
2026-11-12 @ UTEP Miners L 58 - 60
2026-11-15 @ San Diego State Aztecs - Preview
2026-11-19 vs UTEP Miners - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mark Lavrenov Mark Lavrenov F 3 30.0 16.7 7.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 10.7 11.7 -34 2 -17.0 -25.5 43.8 37.5 82.6 -1.92 59.4 48.4
Dj Dudley Dj Dudley G 3 28.7 12.0 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.3 1.3 10.7 5.7 -13 2 -6.5 -9.3 37.5 35.3 75.0 -0.83 50.7 46.9
Jermaine Washington Jermaine Washington G 3 21.7 10.0 1.0 2.0 1.3 0.0 1.0 6.7 6.7 -10 2 -5.0 -13.5 50.0 42.9 66.7 0.14 66.3 65.0
Jae'Coby Osborne Jae'Coby Osborne F 3 32.7 7.7 3.3 0.7 1.3 0.0 2.3 4.7 6.0 -14 2 -7.0 -8.8 71.4 50.0 100.0 -0.25 77.3 75.0
Gabe Warren Gabe Warren G 1 6.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -3 1 -3.0 -18.6 50.0 50.0 75.0 0.43 79.8 75.0
Adrame Diongue Adrame Diongue C 3 15.7 4.3 4.7 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 3.0 5.7 -11 2 -5.5 -18.8 44.4 0 55.6 -0.55 50.2 44.4
Gabe Pickens Gabe Pickens G 3 21.3 4.0 2.3 4.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 2.7 6.7 -10 2 -5.0 -8.1 37.5 50.0 100.0 -0.41 61.5 50.0
KK Robinson KK Robinson G 3 11.7 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.0 4.0 -0.3 -15 2 -7.5 -23.6 25.0 16.7 100.0 -0.81 40.0 29.2
Leopold Levillain Leopold Levillain F 3 9.7 2.7 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.3 -9 2 -4.5 -15.7 37.5 0 100.0 -0.32 45.0 37.5
Caden Deffebaugh Caden Deffebaugh G 3 7.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.0 -0.3 -3 2 -1.5 -6.0 33.3 0.0 0 -0.32 33.3 33.3
Omarr Smith Omarr Smith G 2 4.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.5 -7 1 -7.0 -89.8 20.0 25.0 0 -0.58 30.0 30.0
Phoenix Woodson Phoenix Woodson F 3 13.7 0.3 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.7 -16 2 -8.0 -23.7 0.0 0 50.0 -0.82 26.6 0.0
DeLan Grant DeLan Grant G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -3 1 -3.0 -51.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.35 0.0 0.0
Jachai Cantave Jachai Cantave G 2 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -7 1 -7.0 -89.8 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
Stephon Payne III Stephon Payne III F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former New Mexico State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last New Mexico State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Pascal Siakam 2014-16 NBA Indiana Pacers 11 32.1 22.7 6.9 4.4 11-11 28 pts, 8 reb, 5 ast 11 GP, 22.7 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 4.4 APG
DaJuan Gordon 2022-23 G League Greensboro Swarm 0 - - - - 11-12 8 pts, 5 reb, 3 ast Play-In 4 GP, 9.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 1.0 APG
Bandja Sy 2009-13 EuroCup Lietkabelis Panevezys + EuroLeague 5 GP 2 24.5 11.5 2.0 0.0 11-11 10 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast 2 GP, 11.5 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-12 DaJuan Gordon G League Play-In Greensboro Swarm @ Raptors 905 19 8 5 3 Box
2026-11-11 Pascal Siakam NBA Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards 32 28 8 5 Box
2026-11-11 DaJuan Gordon G League Play-In Greensboro Swarm @ Raptors 905 20 8 4 1 Box
2026-11-11 Bandja Sy EuroCup Lietkabelis Panevezys @ Bahcesehir College Istanbul 22 10 1 0 Box
2026-11-09 Pascal Siakam NBA Indiana Pacers @ Dallas Mavericks 35 29 9 8 Box
2026-11-07 Pascal Siakam NBA Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets 32 23 2 5 Box
2026-11-07 DaJuan Gordon G League Play-In Greensboro Swarm vs Long Island Nets 20 9 7 0 Box
2026-11-04 Bandja Sy EuroCup Lietkabelis Panevezys vs Kids&Us Manresa 27 13 3 0 Box
2026-10-15 Bandja Sy EuroLeague Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade @ Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul 8 0 4 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

154 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Lavrenov25% Osborne36% Washington100% Deffebaugh50% Osborne100% Dudley67% Osborne100% Washington40% Dudley40% Lavrenov43%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Lavrenov18% Lavrenov33% Dudley67% Washington100% Lavrenov50% Deffebaugh33% Washington35% Dudley43% Dudley29%
Misses: who misses most here

Mark LavrenovDj DudleyJermaine WashingtonJae'Coby OsborneCaden Deffebaugh

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 24-41 58.5 48 Mark Lavrenov 25% (12 pts) Dj Dudley 21% (10 pts) Mark Lavrenov 18% (3 misses) Adrame Diongue 12% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 14-35 40.0 28 Jae'Coby Osborne 36% (10 pts) Mark Lavrenov 36% (10 pts) Mark Lavrenov 33% (7 misses) Leopold Levillain 14% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 1-7 14.3 2 Jermaine Washington 100% (2 pts) - Dj Dudley 67% (4 misses) KK Robinson 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-3 66.7 4 Caden Deffebaugh 50% (2 pts) KK Robinson 50% (2 pts) Jermaine Washington 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 2-6 33.3 4 Jae'Coby Osborne 100% (4 pts) - Mark Lavrenov 50% (2 misses) Adrame Diongue 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-6 50.0 9 Dj Dudley 67% (6 pts) Omarr Smith 33% (3 pts) Caden Deffebaugh 33% (1 misses) Dj Dudley 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-1 100.0 3 Jae'Coby Osborne 100% (3 pts) - - -
Above-break 3 left 5-22 22.7 15 Jermaine Washington 40% (6 pts) Dj Dudley 20% (3 pts) Jermaine Washington 35% (6 misses) Dj Dudley 24% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-12 41.7 15 Dj Dudley 40% (6 pts) Jermaine Washington 40% (6 pts) Dj Dudley 43% (3 misses) Omarr Smith 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 7-21 33.3 21 Mark Lavrenov 43% (9 pts) Jermaine Washington 29% (6 pts) Dj Dudley 29% (4 misses) Mark Lavrenov 21% (3 misses)