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Nebraska

Also known as: Nebraska Cornhuskers, Nebraska
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1005 (#156) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 983 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More โ†’ 927 (#255) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +1.5 (#143) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +0.5 (#156) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.288 (#262) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.3 More โ†’ 0.623 (#121) AdjNet +4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More โ†’ 0.625 (#121) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.529 (#147) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 66.3 More โ†’ 0.441 (#215) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 66.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.500 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.482 (#170) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1017 (#146) RD 134 | GP 29

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-11-21 N Centenary (LA) W 68 - 45
2002-11-24 N Ball State L 65 - 73
2002-12-01 vs UTSA W 69 - 53
2002-12-05 @ South Florida L 60 - 65
2002-12-08 vs Minnesota W 80 - 60
2002-12-14 vs Purdue Fort Wayne W 63 - 46
2002-12-21 vs Creighton L 73 - 81
2002-12-27 N UC Santa Barbara W 60 - 57
2002-12-28 @ Arizona State L 63 - 75
2002-12-31 vs Eastern Washington W 63 - 60
2003-01-04 vs Denver W 79 - 75
2003-01-07 vs Lipscomb W 70 - 60
2003-01-11 @ Kansas L 59 - 92
2003-01-15 vs Texas A&M L 52 - 53
2003-01-18 vs Colorado W 80 - 77
2003-01-22 @ Kansas State L 53 - 77
2003-01-25 @ Iowa State L 61 - 71
2003-01-29 vs Missouri L 56 - 63
2003-02-01 vs Kansas L 51 - 81
2003-02-05 @ Texas Tech L 49 - 75
2003-02-12 vs Oklahoma State L 70 - 77
2003-02-15 vs Texas L 63 - 75
2003-02-18 @ Missouri L 50 - 67
2003-02-22 @ Baylor L 64 - 78
2003-02-25 vs Kansas State W 68 - 61
2003-03-01 vs Iowa State W 69 - 63
2003-03-04 @ Oklahoma L 51 - 76
2003-03-08 @ Colorado L 69 - 84
2003-03-13 N Missouri L 61 - 70

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.