Nebraska
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1005 (#156) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 983 (#175) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 927 (#255) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.5 (#143) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.5 (#156) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.288 (#262) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.623 (#121) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.625 (#121) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.529 (#147) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.441 (#215) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.500 (#162) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.482 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1017 (#146) | RD 134 | GP 29 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-21 | N | Centenary (LA) | W | 68 - 45 |
| 2002-11-24 | N | Ball State | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2002-12-01 | vs | UTSA | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2002-12-05 | @ | South Florida | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2002-12-08 | vs | Minnesota | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne | W | 63 - 46 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Creighton | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2002-12-27 | N | UC Santa Barbara | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Arizona State | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2002-12-31 | vs | Eastern Washington | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Denver | W | 79 - 75 |
| 2003-01-07 | vs | Lipscomb | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Kansas | L | 59 - 92 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | Texas A&M | L | 52 - 53 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Colorado | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | Kansas State | L | 53 - 77 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Iowa State | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2003-01-29 | vs | Missouri | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Kansas | L | 51 - 81 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | Texas Tech | L | 49 - 75 |
| 2003-02-12 | vs | Oklahoma State | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Texas | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2003-02-18 | @ | Missouri | L | 50 - 67 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Baylor | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2003-02-25 | vs | Kansas State | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Iowa State | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2003-03-04 | @ | Oklahoma | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Colorado | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Missouri | L | 61 - 70 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.