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Mount St. Mary's

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Program History
Coach: Dan Engelstad

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1047 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1030 (#301) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 969 (#526) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +16.8 (#283) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +9.8 (#211) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.585 (#143) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.628 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.611 (#236) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 27 More → 934 (#320) RD 153 | GP 27

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Villanova Wildcats L 51 - 91
2021-11-11 vs Washington College (MD) Shoremen W 117 - 62
2021-11-16 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 55 - 80
2021-11-19 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 74 - 70
2021-11-22 @ Ohio Bobcats L 59 - 73
2021-11-27 vs Navy Midshipmen L 40 - 67
2021-11-30 vs Howard Bison W 72 - 70
2021-12-04 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 55 - 61
2021-12-07 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 77 - 88
2021-12-11 vs American University Eagles L 66 - 72
2021-12-18 vs Morgan State Bears W 74 - 60
2022-01-15 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 66 - 73
2022-01-17 @ Merrimack Warriors W 57 - 50
2022-01-21 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 98 - 59
2022-01-23 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 65 - 50
2022-01-27 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 67 - 56
2022-01-29 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 71 - 54
2022-02-03 vs Merrimack Warriors W 69 - 53
2022-02-05 vs Bryant Bulldogs L 61 - 62
2022-02-10 @ Wagner Seahawks L 57 - 69
2022-02-12 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 54 - 52
2022-02-17 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 55 - 64
2022-02-19 vs Long Island University Sharks L 61 - 66
2022-02-24 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 65 - 77
2022-02-26 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 65 - 46
2022-03-02 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 78 - 48
2022-03-05 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 69 - 70

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Morales A. Morales - 1 34.0 21.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 13.0 21.0 220 8.5 10.4 53.8 100.0 83.3 0.8 67.1 61.5
J. Carter Jr. J. Carter Jr. G 1 27.0 18.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 19.0 -91 -3.6 -6.8 0 0 0 2.05 0 0
W. Martinez W. Martinez G 1 29.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 10.0 191 7.3 10.9 45.5 33.3 100.0 1.15 54.7 50.0
Jalen Benjamin Jalen Benjamin - 2 31.0 11.0 2.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 4.5 11.0 109 3.8 5.0 55.6 60.0 60.0 1.16 98.2 72.2
R. Rogers R. Rogers F 1 22.0 9.0 10.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 13.0 218 8.1 14.2 66.7 100.0 0.0 1.63 69.9 75.0
M. Jefferson M. Jefferson - 21 24.6 7.2 7.1 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.6 0.8 14.7 - - - 52.9 0 100.0 0.27 402.5 52.9
D. Thomas D. Thomas - 25 25.3 6.8 2.5 2.6 0.5 0.1 1.8 0.7 10.0 211 7.8 10.1 50.0 33.3 33.3 0.95 440.0 58.3
R. Njoku R. Njoku F 1 23.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 -26 -0.8 -1.8 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
J. Reaves J. Reaves - 26 20.5 5.9 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.6 8.0 - - - 18.8 15.4 0 -0.31 478.1 25.0
N. Opoku N. Opoku F 2 29.5 5.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 1.0 2.5 10.0 - - - 20.0 0 57.1 0.53 68.1 20.0
Dakota Leffew Dakota Leffew - 25 22.7 5.4 3.4 1.9 0.3 0.4 1.2 0.6 9.5 -51 -1.9 -3.3 43.8 25.0 50.0 -0.54 402.8 50.0
C. Silva C. Silva G 1 15.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 25 0.8 3.5 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
J. Gibson J. Gibson - 26 11.9 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.5 6.0 -110 -3.8 -10.3 46.2 42.9 0 1.21 361.5 57.7
Frantisek Barton Frantisek Barton - 26 10.5 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 4.3 -30 -1.0 -3.9 60.0 0 40.0 -0.41 270.5 60.0
Jedy Cordilia Jedy Cordilia - 21 4.4 1.4 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.7 50 2.1 18.5 0 0 0 0.75 0 0
D. Adebayo D. Adebayo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
E. Elliott E. Elliott G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 16 0.9 9.6 - - - 0.13 - -
W. Moore W. Moore - 4 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG