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Morgan State

Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History

2017 Team Stats (2 games)

57.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
-12.0
Margin
37.5%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
80.8%
FT%
35.5
RPG
10.5
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.0
Adj PPG
73.2
Adj Opp PPG
#326
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 783 (#302) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 831 (#296) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 973 (#208) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -13.4 (#329) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -13.0 (#327) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.345 (#252) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.5 More โ†’ 0.106 (#327) AdjNet -18.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.7 More โ†’ 0.103 (#328) AdjNet -18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 73.2 More โ†’ 0.247 (#326) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.371 (#292) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.233 (#316) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.255 (#312) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 29 More โ†’ 813 (#300) RD 134 | GP 29

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Houston Cougars L 52 - 93
2016-11-15 vs Towson Tigers L 72 - 78
2016-11-17 vs Wilmington (DE) Wildcats W 88 - 73
2016-11-19 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 82 - 66
2016-11-23 @ Brown Bears L 75 - 81
2016-11-26 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 58 - 90
2016-11-28 vs High Point Panthers L 61 - 62
2016-12-03 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 58 - 72
2016-12-06 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 85 - 82
2016-12-10 vs Wagner Seahawks L 66 - 68
2016-12-21 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 55 - 96
2016-12-26 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 49 - 70
2016-12-29 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 61 - 82
2017-01-04 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 58 - 56
2017-01-07 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 69 - 63
2017-01-10 @ Florida A&M Rattlers W 62 - 59
2017-01-16 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 82 - 53
2017-01-21 @ Savannah State Tigers L 61 - 74
2017-01-23 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs W 77 - 75
2017-01-28 @ Coppin State Eagles W 76 - 74
2017-01-30 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 77 - 60
2017-02-04 vs North Carolina Central Eagles L 62 - 68
2017-02-11 vs Delaware State Hornets L 45 - 56
2017-02-13 @ Howard Bison L 67 - 70
2017-02-18 vs Savannah State Tigers W 83 - 75
2017-02-20 @ Delaware State Hornets W 65 - 54
2017-02-25 vs Hampton Pirates W 77 - 70
2017-02-27 vs Coppin State Eagles W 71 - 66
2017-03-02 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 66 - 67
2017-03-09 vs Howard Bison L 65 - 68

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tiwian Kendley Tiwian Kendley G 6 31.7 17.7 4.5 1.7 1.0 0.7 4.3 4.8 16.3 - - - - 24.1 14.3 73.3 -2.26 148.9 27.6
Phillip Carr Phillip Carr F 10 36.5 17.5 8.9 1.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 4.3 23.4 -31 6 -5.2 -20.4 41.9 0.0 82.4 -2.9 173.3 41.9
Kyle Thomas Kyle Thomas F 10 30.5 9.7 4.8 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.4 2.3 12.8 -31 6 -5.2 -20.6 21.7 0.0 100.0 -2.91 203.1 21.7
Tyler Streeter Tyler Streeter G 2 12.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.0 - - - - 83.3 100.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
David Syfax David Syfax F 9 23.0 6.0 3.3 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.8 0.7 9.6 -21 6 -3.5 -17.2 50.0 0.0 0.0 -1.3 392.4 50.0
Antonio Gillespie Antonio Gillespie G 9 18.3 5.0 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 - - - - 41.7 47.1 100.0 -4.25 88.9 58.3
Martez Cameron Martez Cameron G 10 29.1 4.8 2.9 4.0 1.4 0.0 2.6 2.4 8.1 -16 6 -2.7 -13.3 33.3 0.0 60.0 -1.66 84.5 33.3
Isiah Graves Isiah Graves G 10 9.7 3.8 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.0 0.6 5.2 - - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 -1.33 276.2 41.7
Alex Ennis Alex Ennis C 10 18.1 3.3 4.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 7.2 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 212.6 50.0
Stanley Davis Stanley Davis G 7 10.3 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 0.0 4.1 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyjhai Byers Tyjhai Byers F 7 8.9 0.9 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.1 0.6 2.6 - - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 67.6 50.0
Azariah Sykes Azariah Sykes F 5 8.2 0.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 2.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG