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Morgan State

Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History

2017 Team Stats (2 games)

57.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
-12.0
Margin
37.5%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
80.8%
FT%
35.5
RPG
10.5
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.0
Adj PPG
73.2
Adj Opp PPG
#326
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 783 (#302) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 831 (#296) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 973 (#208) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -13.4 (#329) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -13.0 (#327) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.345 (#252) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.5 More โ†’ 0.106 (#327) AdjNet -18.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.7 More โ†’ 0.103 (#328) AdjNet -18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 73.2 More โ†’ 0.247 (#326) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.371 (#292) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.233 (#316) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.255 (#312) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 29 More โ†’ 813 (#300) RD 134 | GP 29

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Houston Cougars L 52 - 93
2016-11-15 vs Towson Tigers L 72 - 78
2016-11-17 vs Wilmington (DE) Wildcats W 88 - 73
2016-11-19 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 82 - 66
2016-11-23 @ Brown Bears L 75 - 81
2016-11-26 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 58 - 90
2016-11-28 vs High Point Panthers L 61 - 62
2016-12-03 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 58 - 72
2016-12-06 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 85 - 82
2016-12-10 vs Wagner Seahawks L 66 - 68
2016-12-21 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 55 - 96
2016-12-26 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 49 - 70
2016-12-29 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 61 - 82
2017-01-04 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 58 - 56
2017-01-07 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 69 - 63
2017-01-10 @ Florida A&M Rattlers W 62 - 59
2017-01-16 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 82 - 53
2017-01-21 @ Savannah State Tigers L 61 - 74
2017-01-23 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs W 77 - 75
2017-01-28 @ Coppin State Eagles W 76 - 74
2017-01-30 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 77 - 60
2017-02-04 vs North Carolina Central Eagles L 62 - 68
2017-02-11 vs Delaware State Hornets L 45 - 56
2017-02-13 @ Howard Bison L 67 - 70
2017-02-18 vs Savannah State Tigers W 83 - 75
2017-02-20 @ Delaware State Hornets W 65 - 54
2017-02-25 vs Hampton Pirates W 77 - 70
2017-02-27 vs Coppin State Eagles W 71 - 66
2017-03-02 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 66 - 67
2017-03-09 vs Howard Bison L 65 - 68

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tiwian Kendley Tiwian Kendley G 6 31.7 17.7 4.5 1.7 1.0 0.7 4.3 4.8 16.3 - - - - 24.1 14.3 73.3 -2.26 148.9 27.6
Phillip Carr Phillip Carr F 10 36.5 17.5 8.9 1.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 4.3 23.4 -31 6 -5.2 -20.4 41.9 0.0 82.4 -2.9 173.3 41.9
Kyle Thomas Kyle Thomas F 10 30.5 9.7 4.8 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.4 2.3 12.8 -31 6 -5.2 -20.6 21.7 0.0 100.0 -2.91 203.1 21.7
Tyler Streeter Tyler Streeter G 2 12.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.0 - - - - 83.3 100.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
David Syfax David Syfax F 9 23.0 6.0 3.3 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.8 0.7 9.6 -21 6 -3.5 -17.2 50.0 0.0 0.0 -1.3 392.4 50.0
Antonio Gillespie Antonio Gillespie G 9 18.3 5.0 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 - - - - 41.7 47.1 100.0 -4.25 88.9 58.3
Martez Cameron Martez Cameron G 10 29.1 4.8 2.9 4.0 1.4 0.0 2.6 2.4 8.1 -16 6 -2.7 -13.3 33.3 0.0 60.0 -1.66 84.5 33.3
Isiah Graves Isiah Graves G 10 9.7 3.8 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.0 0.6 5.2 - - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 -1.33 276.2 41.7
Alex Ennis Alex Ennis C 10 18.1 3.3 4.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 7.2 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 212.6 50.0
Stanley Davis Stanley Davis G 7 10.3 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 0.0 4.1 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyjhai Byers Tyjhai Byers F 7 8.9 0.9 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.1 0.6 2.6 - - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 67.6 50.0
Azariah Sykes Azariah Sykes F 5 8.2 0.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 2.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG