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2016-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +23.0 โœ“ (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +41 (96-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Thomas * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 3 14 23 -
Phillip Carr * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 19 22 -
David Syfax * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 5 5 8 -
Martez Cameron * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 5 5 7 -
Tyjhai Byers * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
Alex Ennis 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 6 12 -
Antonio Gillespie 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Isiah Graves 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Stanley Davis 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carr * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 8 2 0 3 11 28 -
S. Garner * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 10 17 -
L. Stevens * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 20 28 -
J. Reaves * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 4 1 1 6 20 -
M. Watkins * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 1 10 21 -
P. Banks 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 11 19 -
J. Moore 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 0 10 20 -
I. Washington 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
N. Bostick 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Zemgulis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Zhao 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Hazle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter